📣⚠️ CRUNCH TIME: Going forward, I'll mostly just promote my two "focused" fundraising pages (links at end of thread), but once a week I'll also tweet out all ~20 pages (~600 state & federal candidates).
If you've been waiting to donate, NOW is the time. 1/ #DemCast
MICHIGAN: In 2018 we flipped 5 House seats and need just 4 more to #FlipMIHouseBlue. Donate to these races today! I strongly recommend Julia Pulver, Kelly Breen, Nicole Breadon, Barb Anness, Jody LaMacchia & Abigail Wheeler: 2/ #DemCast#DemCastMI secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
KANSAS: By request, I've added 2 dozen of the most competitive KS state house races! It also helps Barbara Bollier flip the Senate seat. If you want Medicaid expansion, donate to these races today! 6/ #DemCast#DemCastKS secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
NORTH CAROLINA: Democrats have a real shot at flipping BOTH the House *and* Senate this year! They need to flip 6 House and 5 Senate seats to #FlipNCBlue and PASS MEDICAID EXPANSION with Roy Cooper! Donate to these races today: 9/ #DemCast#DemCastNC secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
SOUTH CAROLINA: The SC state Senate is potentially IN PLAY! Dems need to flip 5 seats to take control...and with Jaime Harrison giving Lindsey Graham a run for his money, we could pull it off! Donate to #FlipSCSenateBlue today! 12/ #DemCast#DemCastSC secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
TEXAS: THE BIG ONE! Democrats are poised to take control of the state House, which has major implications for redistricting and would get a foot in the door for #ACA Medicaid Expansion. Donate to these races today! 14/ #DemCast#DemCastTX secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
WISCONSIN: Wisconsin's horrific gerrymandering makes it a tough nut to crack, but Dems have a narrow chance at flipping the state Senate and can make gains in the state House. Donate to #FlipWIBlue today! #DemCast#DemCastWI 15/ secure.actblue.com/donate/makewib…
This year has reminded us how vitally important GOVERNORS (#COVID19 response), ATTORNEYS GENERAL (defending the #ACA) and SECRETARIES OF STATE (protecting voting rights & election integrity) are! Donate to elect #MoreDemExecs today! 16/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/gov_ag_…
Onto the CONGRESSIONAL races: Democrats flipped the U.S. House in 2018. Now we have to make sure to KEEP control of it! These are the 40 most vulnerable House Dems; donate today to #KeepTheHouseBlue: 17/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/keepthe…
We flipped 40 U.S. House seats in 2018, but left *dozens* more on the table, coming up just a few hundred votes short in some cases! Donate to these swing district races to #ExpandTheBlueHouse today! 18/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/expandt…
There are *other* House races which are a much tougher grind, but with the right candidates, a lot of luck and your support (financial or otherwise), we could pull off a few surprises! Donate to help Dems #CompeteEverywhere today! 19/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/compete…
FINALLY, #FLIPTHESENATE! Some of these candidates are already swimming in money; CONSIDER *OTHER* GREAT CANDIDATES like Jaime Harrison, Al Gross, Barbara Bollier & M.J. Hegar as well...& don't forget incumbents like Doug Jones and Gary Peters! 21/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/retakes…
Oh, while I'm at it, here's a shout-out to some LOCAL races! Donate to great OAKLAND COUNTY, MICHIGAN candidates like Karen McDonald for Oakland County Prosecutor and Kelly Dillaha for County Commissioner District 12! #DemCastMI 22/ secure.actblue.com/donate/blueoak…
Speaking of which, if you happen to live in Oakland County and want a high-quality #BidenHarris lawn sign, donate $25 to the OCDP. if you live in my neck of the woods I might even deliver it personally! 23/ #DemCastMI secure.actblue.com/donate/ocdpbid…
📣 OVERWHELMED by so many candidates? Want to focus your dollars even more effectively? I've pared the ~600 above down to 50 Senate/Congressional & 60 State Legislative races which I think would have the most impact.
That doesn't mean the rest aren't important, of course! 24/
STATE RACES: State legislatures control redistricting, Medicaid expansion, reproductive rights and hundreds of other critical policies. Donate to these races today to help #FlipStateLegBlue in up to 10 states at once! 26/ secure.actblue.com/donate/final_s…
P.S. Aside from normal ActBlue/payment processor fees, 100% of donations go to the campaigns. I receive nothing besides peace of mind. If you'd like to support my work in ACA/healthcare policy data analysis/advocacy, you can do so here. Thank you! /END acasignups.net/donate
FWIW, I just broke $2.9 million raised to help elect Dems up & down the ballot nationwide:
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🧵THE DEAD POOL: Since @MikeJohnson and @JDVance are promising to Concentrate folks w/pre-existing conditions into separate Camps, let's talk about that. 1/ acasignups.net/24/10/04/dead-…
Let's go back to the pre-ACA healthcare landscape. This is what it looked like in 2012...*before* the ACA's major provisions went into effect.
Half the US had employer coverage. Another third had Medicare or Medicaid. ~11M had "individual" insurance; ~48M had nothing at all. 2/
The ACA had 2 main goals:
1. Reduce the number of uninsured Americans as much as possible by making coverage more affordable & accessible;
2. Provide protections from insurance industry abuses, *especially* for the individual market where the abuses were the most blatant. 3/
AGAIN: This graph is the single most important explainer of how risk pools work & the dangers of separating people out into risk pools based on their CURRENT health.
5% of the population racks up over 50% of total healthcare spending.
If you throw them under the bus, healthcare costs for the other 95% of the population drops in half, except for one small problem even IF you don't care about Grandma or Cousin Fred Who Was Just Diagnosed With Cancer:
You never know when YOU'RE gonna become Cousin Fred.
So, VP @KamalaHarris has posted her official policy agenda on her campaign website. The healthcare section includes, among other solid items, making the enhanced #ACA subsidies of the IRA permanent.
Here's an idea of how important this is for over 21 MILLION Americans: 1/
The enhanced subsidies are currently scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025. If they aren't extended, they'll revert back to the original formula, which was good for those earning < 200% FPL, but mediocre for those earning 200 - 400% & NONEXISTENT for those earning over 400% FPL.
I ran state-by-state case studies to show how letting the upgraded subsidies expire would impact 5 different households at various income levels.
The results range from painful to disastrous depending on the household & where they live.
The Inflation Reduction Act is also the reason over 20 million #ACA enrollees are saving an average of $800/yr on health insurance premiums.
Unfortunately that provision is scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025 unless legislation is passed to make the savings permanent.
I’ve written up estimates of how much net premiums would jump for various households in every state starting in January 2016 if the IRA subsidy formula isn’t extended. It’s not pretty. Here’s the first 5 states: acasignups.net/24/07/09/state…