#TradingQNA
Q. - I took #loan of 7.5 lakhs to trade in the Stock Market. Money is lost. I am in #Depression. What should I do?
A. - I have been into this situation. Post 2011-2012, I suffered from depression. 1/n
@rohit_katwal I had blown my account not twice but thrice. I was a teen with no sense of business & was gambling. It is past now, but know that my amount of loss was much bigger. Today, I have recovered all I lost & in profit.
I am estimating that EMI should be around ₹11k 2/n
@rohit_katwal 1st, going into depression won't help. Act on the problem. Your loved ones need you more than ever.
2nd, Don't borrow more money to trade. In wrong mindset you will lose it again. Do not take help from anyone on trading calls, workshops etc to recover money.
3/n
@rohit_katwal In the wrong mindset you won't be able to take right decision.
3rd, in my case we had very good relations with banks & somehow banks were willing to help us. We also had assets like parental land so there was a way out which we didnt know yet. Assess your assets.4/n
@rohit_katwal 4th, know that filing bankruptcy won't help. Don't ask any prominent person to help you financially. No body will help for your financial goof up.
Coming to solution:
11,000 pm is not a big amount. Your family needs to collectively make an effort to pay the EMI.5/n
@rohit_katwal Do not get a defaulters tag from bank. Get a sales job if you have to. Its not going to be easy. We had assets, so we also rotated bank loan few times. Bank must be willing to help. Use Co-Operative or PSU Banks. 6/n
@rohit_katwal In my case, I decided to cut colony. Problems weren't solved because land is not a liquid asset. Once people know that you are in trouble, they will negotiate like bitches. For 4 yrs. I kept my legs buried at my price & finally 2 plots sold and I was out of debt.7/n
@rohit_katwal Understand 1. There are brokers who have special arrangement with bank managers for loan 2. Don't take any gold loan as they costly 3. Talk with prominent business man in your community who can guide you. 4. Even banks don't want to put you into defaulters tag. 8/n
@rohit_katwal I talked with many people that time. And they told me all the businessman rotate money like this. You need to understand how it works. More than anything you need your friends and family support.
I rented out my farm many time to raise money on yearly basis. 9/n
@rohit_katwal While doing all this, try to build something that over time can bring in cashflow to you. What it can be, only you know.
As of now I have a Residential Colony, Drug-Deaddiction Center, Own Trading, Brokerage Firm & PMS Services all providing cash flow. 10/n
@rohit_katwal 3 years back when my problems were about to finish, I did not have slightest of idea how I will turn things around.
You never know how life will turn out. But you got to be ready to fight this situation. People will pity you but won't help you. 11/n
@rohit_katwal Just find a job even if its insurance where incentives are pretty good. Take help from family members to contribute a little. And learn our financial system. Problem is not the problem, but our attitude towards the problem.
May God Bless you.
End of Thread.
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Going forward, I am extremely cautious on BANKNIFTY.
I really was rooting for BANKNFITY to be bullish in coming days. Break of 39700 will take BANKNIFTY towards 37500 levels.
This is 1 Month Chart of BANKNIFTY. Break of 39700 (Support) will push prices further down.
On Daily Charts, we are standing at a support and gave a dead cat bounce. COI did not recede from this point but as you can see there has been continuous selling. At support, either this gives a bounce or indicative of incoming sell off.
MACD and ADX on Hourly Chart at support are getting sideways. Not bullish but just sideways.
Below 0 Line, MACD bullish is still a sideways market. ADX receding from 40-50 level below its EMA again a sideways sign.
At support, I will create positions will slight caution!
And yes, I am rightly worried. Its a neighbouring state.
This has been happening for past few months now. My immediate question was, what is the central government doing? I have no expectations from AAP. Or uprising of people of Punjab against such elements, as people themselves chose AAP. Many I talked with are regretting it now.
Today AAP might be the biggest threat to National Security. With Jammu and Kashmir stabilized, AAP might open a new frontier for Indian Government.
But no news media is showing this. Or Algorithms are not even picking it up. Why? Vested interest? But again back to question 1...
William's Alligator is probably the most underrated indicator in moving average category.
Alligator follows the premise that market is sideways for 70% of the time and trending only 30% of the time.
This is where William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders.
Why William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders?
It can identify Bullish, Bearish and Sideways market pretty easily. Problem is, traders don't know how to use it effectively. Alligator has three lines:
1. Lips - Fastest Line 2. Teeth 3. Jaws - Slowest Line
Book Interpretation is when Lips Crosses above Jaws, it's a buying opportunity and when below its a shorting opportunity. And when three lines are crisscrossing, instrument is sideways.
BUT this does not make it a tradeable indicator in practice. Here is what should be done.
I have no sympathies for #Scammers who were duping people with lakhs and crores of screenshots.
At first, I along with friends of mine were in awe of how they were generating this much return. For almost, 2 years I worked a lot and tried to break the code.
Do read and retweet.
A lot of ideas were worked upon on Amibroker may it be ITM Selling of Option, Option Doublers in 2 - 3 days, Intraday Option Buying, Future Holygrail and what not. In the process we were able to make Option Chain on Amibroker, calculate option greeks on Amibroker and what not.
But no definite system was built.
If we cracked up Option Buying or burst moves, it was difficult to ascertain position-sizing. For eg. position sizing average size, doesn't make the profit so lucrative. And if the position-size is big, loss could be 70% in 3 trades.
To understand options, three concepts are required: 1. Intrinsic / Extrinsic value 2. Time / Theta Decay 3. Implied Volatility
Option Value = Intrinsic + Extrinsic (Value)
Intrinsic Value - Value of Option if it were exercised today at CMP.
Extrinsic Value - Total Value of time in the option.
ATM and OTM options are 100% extrinsic value. ITM options have more intrinsic and less extrinsic value.
ITM Options: Intrinsic Value = Price of Underlying Asset -
Strike Price
For eg.
Nifty is at 11,416. 11400 CE of 29 Oct 2020 is at 224.40/-.
Intrinsic Value is = 11416-11400 = 16
Extrinsic Value is = 224.40-16 = 208.40.