THREAD: Our Researcher @hu_rdman writes how the #UN must take a proactive approach in addressing "the southern issue" so as to pave the way for an all-inclusive peace agreement in #Yemen, offering four main recommendations on how the UN can achieve that.
"The southern issue" is shorthand for the political and economic fallout from the 1994 civil war in #Yemen that created inequities and a sense of discrimination among southerners that has weakened the social fabric and strengthened identity-based separatist movements.
The #RiyadhAgreement reached in 2019 has helped create an opportune moment to support and transform a political agreement that deescalates hostilities and tension in southern governorates into a more sustainable and comprehensive arrangement for all parties concerned.
The #RiyadhAgreement is still politically effective for 2 main reasons: 1- It placed #SaudiArabia as mediator, which has the political & military clout to steer the behavior of both #Hadi & #STC. 2- The agreement addressed several underlying core issues feeding Yemen's conflict
Including southern interests has become necessary to achieve peace in #Yemen, and the #UN’s reticence to approach the southern issue in an independent and in-depth manner appears inconsistent with its vital role in Yemen’s war and peace tracks. Southerners’ views are not uniform.
There's room for #UN engagement in the South, particularly if it can play an active part in ensuring the success and development of the #RiyadhAgreement. Dividing authority between the #STC &GoY-loyal forces makes the accord a more inclusive & sustainable transitional settlement.
Supporting this transformation will, in the short- and medium- terms, create a foundational government in the South with enough political momentum to enter comprehensive peace negotiations in #Yemen.
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Watch this space as we will be live tweeting the event here.
.@thomasjuneau: Welcome everybody. This is third event on Yemen organized by @uOttawaCIPS in three years. This year, we have @maysaashujaa as a speaker and @AbdulGhani1959 a senior researcher at the Sana'a Center with over 30 years of experience on #Yemen.
The format for today is each speaker will present 10-15 minutes, then we will open the floor for a Q&A presented by @thomasjuneau.
THREAD: Executive Director @MAlmadhaji writes that the future of the war in #Yemen will be determined in #Marib. As #Houthi forces seek to seize control of Marib’s oil and gas resources, local tribes lead the defense amid government disarray. sanaacenter.org/publications/a…
In recent weeks, the battle for #Marib has turned into a war of attrition, with the #Houthis throwing more fighters against multiple fronts. A recent reorganization of army forces has managed to partially stabilize the situation, but it remains tenuous.
By attacking southern #Marib, the #Houthis pitted themselves against one of the most cohesive and most powerful tribal blocs in the governorate, the Murad tribe. It and most other local tribes have a prominent sense of their Sunni identity, putting them at odds with the Houthis.