This is my study of Bitcoin's market cap gain per dollar of net capital captured. It's presently sitting at $3.30 of price gain per dollar invested.
Some interesting findings below...
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Reflectivity is increasing over each macro cycle! This is the tendency of HODLers to hold onto their coins harder as price increases.
I had expected reflexivity to increase during the mania phase of BULL markets, but it looks quite constant from the last two cycles.
This tells us that mania phases are driven by equally significant capital instead side effects of supply drying up.
This cycle in interesting; reflexivity is increasing rather than static compared to last cycles.
While we now need more capital invested to get similar % gains in price, the effect of HODLers holding onto coins tighter is magnifying "number go up" per dollar invested.
BTC would represent 20%+ of the fund in March 2021. I imagine they would have rebalanced since then, selling down some of their GBTC the last few weeks, given it's a diversified fund.
This is probably the original article from Stuff. It cites $350m AUM, some mismatch from my own search finding $1.75b AUM Sep 2020.
Hmmmm..... Rick Astley spotted buying the dip, rabidly.
Zooming in from weekly to daily... oh yes. Today we have a new all-time-high in BTC leaving the exchanges for 2021. And a new dip buying prize to award.
It's also a new Rick Astley high score.
Remember, the red bars is the daily count of coins moving to Rick Astley, the HODLer of last resort, who never gives up or deserts BTC.