IMO what's happening is US institutions and HNWI are scooping up the available coins from weak hands and locking it up as strong HODLers in response to monetary inflation.
Coinbase BTC supply dropping off a cliff suggests US institutional buying there.
1) me: Whales dumping Gemini is bogus data 2) @glassnode: it's an internal transfer 3) @cryptoquant_com: it's an external transfer 4) @coinmetrics: it's BlockFi
Me: warning 28,300 traders of whales dumping needs fact-checking.
Did a whale send in 18k of BTC into Gemini to dump the markets? Or was it a data error?
This alert was sent out to 28,300 traders warning of whale dumping. Speculators sold off minutes later.
This chart shows Gemini prices vs the average of Coinbase and Binance.
When the warning was sent out to traders, Gemini price did not dip relative to others which is what dumping there would look like. In fact it rose indicating net purchasing on that exchange.
Gemini trades $100m-$200m per day; that's insufficient liquidity to absorb a $1b sell. Price moves 2% on a $2m order there.
While we are in the first great consolidation of the 2021 bull market, here's a bunch of charts to get the feel of where we are in this bull cycle.
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SOPR tracks profit-taken when coins being sold. It hit the 1.0 line which means we completely reset. To go lower we'd need to have investors sell at a loss. This would need a bear phase (that's is NOT on the cards with the current setup)
Here's how it looks in the longer time frame (1 week SOPR). Pretty close to a full reset, Elon kind of screwed with it, bounced us early.
Commenters didn’t like these objective data points and missed the point that stablecoins are increasingly used for transmission of funds and securitising trade settlement.
It’s not just used for hedging from bearish crypto price action like the old days.
Bitcoin’s cap is tiny next to demands of global remittance and trade. Here you get a sense of just how small and early Bitcoin in its life cycle compared to where it needs to be to serve the finance world in a meaningful sense.
On a markets analysis note, some of us have been using USDT cap vs BTC cap as an oversold / overbought fundamental macro indicator, this signal is likely to be less effective in future given the changing use cases of Tether.
They are nuanced. We have:
-Protocol coins
-Utility tokens
-Security tokens
-Non-fungible tokens
But to an investor, there's only 2 types of altcoins. Oscillators and Degenerators. You can spot them on this chart of the entire market.
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The vast majority of alt-coins are Degens. Their price chart has a measurable half-life, like radioactive decay. Plotted on a log chart, it's a straight line down. (This one is Namecoin, a promising coin of its era, there's over 2000 examples like this).
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A handful are oscillators. Oscillators are proving SoV properties.
To qualify they need to keep up with BTCUSD gains. To find them, plot their BTC value. It must oscillate around a horizontal line, for at least one full bull-bear cycle (around 4yrs). More cycles are better.