US yesterday 57,420, highest since mid-August. Canada yesterday 2,895, a new record for daily infections. Quebec, Ontario, Alberta all on the rise and surpassed their first peaks back in April.
Total cases in India surpass 7 million today, closing in on the US. In the meanwhile, India's daily infections have been declining for 4 weeks, now at 72k.
Russia yesterday 11,969, surpassing its peak back in May and set new record. The average daily death toll also surpassed the peak of first wave.
Ukraine sees a new high of 5,961. Kharkivska, its current epicenter, now exceeds 600 new cases per day.
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is analyzing damage due to COVID and projecting further severe consequences if current policies persist. They state “despite involving short term economic costs, lockdowns may lead to faster economic recovery by containing the virus”
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Note: This report doesn’t do a dynamic analysis that makes things much clearer, but it does a thoughtful statistical analysis based upon increasingly available data.
“The analysis also finds that lockdowns are powerful instruments to reduce infections, especially when they are introduced early in a country’s epidemic and when they are sufficiently stringent.”
This figure is super important, showing the way different policies lead to different amounts of time till the goal is achieved. A bit more effort makes all the difference.
Proven by evidence: Evidence based science is like standing on a train track facing east saying: I won’t turn around until you prove to me there is a train coming from the west.
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Examples:
1) Not testing for COVID in places that didn’t previously have known cases of COVID.
2) Treating COVID like flu until hospitals are overwhelmed.
The Independent Scientific Advisory Group (ISAG) a voluntary and independent expert group from Northern Ireland, the Republic of Ireland and abroad, advocating a SARS-CoV-2 elimination strategy for the island of Ireland.
“The prospect of further illness, deaths and long-term consequences from COVID-19 in the coming months, and possibly years, is unacceptable..
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We therefore, urge the Irish and Northern Irish governments to adopt a COVID-19 strategy with the overarching objective of eliminating the virus from Ireland..
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US yesterday 50,341. MO, SD, and MT see new highs. Venezuela saw continuous decrease since September, 608 yesterday, lowest since late August. The daily death toll is also trending down, currently at 6.
Outbreak in Nepal accelerated, 3,439 yesterday, significantly higher than the previous record. The average daily toll also climbed to a new high of 13.
Italy yesterday 3,677, highest since 6 months ago. Almost all regions on the rise especially Campania, Lombardia and Veneto.