Days 223-226 - #COVID19 in Iran
Record number of official daily deaths and critical situation in many provinces
Picking up from 4 days ago:
Record number of official daily deaths and critical situation in many provinces
Picking up from 4 days ago:
https://twitter.com/aliostad/status/1313931641430122500?s=20
[Current Outlook]
Very grim. The 3rd wave, most likely due to Ashura ceremonies, has created a synchronised widespread wave across the country which has completely overwhelmed the medical system. This is WAY worse than the 1st and 2nd wave.
Very grim. The 3rd wave, most likely due to Ashura ceremonies, has created a synchronised widespread wave across the country which has completely overwhelmed the medical system. This is WAY worse than the 1st and 2nd wave.
According to the official numbers today we had 251, a record number of daily deaths due to COVID. The number does not look high but you need to bear in mind this is only PCR+ cases which results in massive underreporting due to COVID test kit shortage.
https://twitter.com/isna_farsi/status/1315243625710784512?s=20
What is absolutely worrying is the record number of COVID patients in critical care (~4500).
This scale of disaster is better known once we realise the number of ICU beds in Iran was 3700 in 2011.
researchgate.net/publication/21….
This scale of disaster is better known once we realise the number of ICU beds in Iran was 3700 in 2011.
researchgate.net/publication/21….
The situation in Tehran (9M) is super critical with half of deaths from this city.
Officials yesterday BANNDED hospitals from admitting any non-urgent non-COVID case.
Officials yesterday BANNDED hospitals from admitting any non-urgent non-COVID case.
Qom (1.2M), the original epicentre, is in a critical situation with number of hospitalised cases at 779 - arguably all-time high. The number was higher during the 1st wave but admission protocols have changed ever since.
https://twitter.com/qomnews/status/1315262849208508416?s=20
Gilan (2.5M) and Mazandaran (3M) provinces in the north had been pretty much spared during the 3rd phase but have started to show a modest rise in the number of cases. It appears previous high infection rate especially in Gilan have been providing some levels of protection.
Whether this can be taken as an evidence for Herd Immunity, I very much doubt.
It is clear [to me] that long-term Herd Immunity cannot be achieved with this virus, although with a very high infection rate, a short-term one could be possible albeit with a high casualty.
It is clear [to me] that long-term Herd Immunity cannot be achieved with this virus, although with a very high infection rate, a short-term one could be possible albeit with a high casualty.
A high number of officials have been struck with the virus now including Dr. Salehi, Iran's Atomic Agency chief and Dr. Nobakht, special advisor to the president. 
In W Azerbaijan (3M), more and more hospitals are being allocated to patients with COVID. This north western province has had a terrible 2nd and 3rd wave.
https://twitter.com/IranIntlbrk/status/1313946914249900034?s=20
I will leave you on a positive note: Narges Mohammadi, a prominent social activist in Iran has been freed from prison after 8.5 years of her 10 year sentence.
There are still many more activists in prison. Stay safe.
There are still many more activists in prison. Stay safe.
https://twitter.com/bbcpersian/status/1314090940680765440?s=20
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
