Thread by @therealarod1984

10/11 TX C-19 Hospital Census: Capacity

* Census - 3622 - up 430 beds Week over Week (WoW)
* % Beds used by C19 - 5.56%
* ICU C19 - 1142, up 71 beds WoW
* Hospital bed capacity - record 65,151
* C19 % beds used (orange) diverging from C19 census (blue)

1/n

#RationalGround

TX Hospital Bed Capacity - Up Bigly

* 10/11 Bed Capacity - 65,151 (Image 1)
* Highest since June 5
* Up 7,084 beds from last week
* Meanwhile free beds are down 41 WoW (Image 2), meaning 7K more patients than last week.
* Delayed Care / Elective surgery increasing rapidly

2/n

10/11 ICU vs General Bed Census

ICU still basically flat with a small rise the past 3 days. Meanwhile General census is up over 300 in the past 8 days alone.

With more electives and delayed care being admitted, all being PCR tested = rise in census numbers.

3/n

The State Positivity rate (yellow line) remains in the 6% range and has for the past month. Case arrivals (blue graph )show an uptick commensurate with the increase in testing orange graph.

4/n

The Corona Like Illness (CLI) Index shows a slight rise over the past 3-4 weeks. Something to continue watching as we go into flu season. The ILI index shows a similar but perhaps slightly bigger jump than CLI, which is to be expected..

5/n

Finally, Harris County's EPI Curve on their dashboard below.

Texas appears in good shape right now. The uptick in hospitalizations is commensurate with a large increase in delayed care and elective surgeries. All metrics look solid a couple of weeks into flu season

6/end