Thread by @roberto_blanko

#Covid19 Excess mortality: Thread

1/
Of the 32 countries analyzed, 17 showed no (real) increase in Exc. mortality. For the remaining 15 countries are shown:
- Exc. deaths over time (simple approach)
- Deaths 2016-2020
- Cumulated Exc. deaths 2020

All data on weekly basis

2/
AUSTRIA
➡️ Moderate (=not unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 1983 = 215 per Million population

3/
BELGIUM
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 7713 = 666 per Million population

4/
ENGLAND & WALES
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 54,676 = 903 per Million population

5/
FRANCE
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 23,780 = 364 per Million population

6/
GREECE
➡️ Moderate (=not unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 1402 = 135 per Million population

7/
ISRAEL
➡️ Moderate (=not unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 1463 = 169 per Million population

8/
ITALY
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 42,397 = 701 per Million population

9/
NETHERLANDS
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 8636 = 504 per Million population

10/
NORTHERN IRELAND
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 773 = 401 per Million population

11/
PORTUGAL
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 5423 = 532 per Million population

12/
SOUTH KOREA
➡️ Moderate (=not unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 6163 = 120 per Million population

13/
SCOTLAND
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 4700 = 841 per Million population

14/
SPAIN
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 52,251 = 1118 per Million population

15/
SWEDEN
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 4006 = 397 per Million population

16/
USA
➡️ Dramatic (=unprecedented) increase in Mortality due to #Covid

Cumulated Excess deaths 2020: 270,016 = 816 per Million population

17/
RESULTS

The mortality trend of the 32 observed countries in 2020 is:

-No or normal increase in 17 countries (<100 Exc. Deaths per Million pop.)
-Moderate increase in 4 countries (100-300 Exc.Deaths/M)
-Dramatic increase in 11 countries (>300 Exc.Deaths/M)

18/
SUMMARY

It’s up to you to judge if the Excess mortality 2020 is alarming or not.
For me it is, but there are no easy answers with #Covid. I can only warn everyone to turn to pseudoexperts providing soothing answers instead of scientific facts that might be inconvenient