Even Bill Gates sat down with Playboy (in 1994). He was all over the internet and how it would change the world. web.archive.org/web/2010080107…
Netflix, Yelp, social media:
"Video on demand, finding people with common interests, picking a doctor"
"You'll want to know what movies others liked, based on what you thought of other movies. Afterward, you can even share what you thought."
"Community will expand"
So very 90's: "we're involved in a new generation of fax machines"
Meanwhile, his "wallet PC" is the iPhone: "buttons replaced with a graphics interface. Digital keys, tickets, money, maps."
Competition and the need to build moats/monopolies: "People underestimate how effective capitalism is at keeping even the most successful companies on edge."
Software vs. hardware:
"Think of computer power as almost free. Why be in the business of making something that's almost free?
What is the scarce resource? What limits being able to get value out of that infinite computing power?"
Innovation as evolutionary process:
"This would have happened without us. Somebody would have done a standard operating system. The information highway is going to happen."
"Fear should guide you, but it should be latent. I have some latent fear. I consider failure on a regular basis."
Being a "technologist": "I devote maybe ten percent to business thinking."
"Let's look around these shelves and see if there are any business books. Oops."😂
Both Jobs and Gates took LSD?🤔
"Is the one success of Microsoft enough for you?"
"It's like saying to somebody who's been married 50 years, 'Well, hell, you've only had one wife. What's wrong with you?' I mean, I'm committed to one company. This is the industry I've decided to work in."
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In 1987, an unknown black lawyer rocked Wall Street with the $985 million LBO of Beatrice International.
Reginald Lewis had bootstrapped his way to the top of the buyout world, negotiating with the likes of Henry Kravis and Michael Milken.
Kenneth Frazier, CEO of Merck: “Reg Lewis opened up a world of possibilities for an entire generation of black business leaders. I distinctly recall my reaction when he engineered the acquisition of Beatrice Foods. I said to myself, “Who is this brother?’”
Lewis grew up in Baltimore and wanted to play professional football. However, after an injury he ingeniously worked his way into Harvard Law School.
He joined a prestigious law firm but was told he wouldn't make partner.
Larry Ellison in 2002: "I knew that the dot-com thing was madness."
At the height of the dot-com boom he crated a website called "HeyIdiot" where people could bid on HeyIdiot stock.
"The horrifying thing was we got messages: 'We're trying to buy the stock and it's not working.'"
Ellison once paid investigators to go through Microsoft's garbage
"I wouldn't want to through garbage personally, because I'm wearing a very expensive suit. If Microsoft wanted to deceive the American people and not get caught, they should have bought a few more shredders."
"Technology is going the same way as the car industry. There is going to be a handful of large technology competitors. The idea that the software and computer industries are going to be forever young is fanciful."
"Where did the future go" with David Graeber
Leaving big law firm: "on the outside everybody wanted in, on the inside everybody wanted to leave." People said it was "good to see someone could escape Alcatraz" when "all you had to do was go out the front door"
"Developing the developed world" (2013)
Globalization vs. technology
"Most of the companies in the Nasdaq are described as technology but they are really bets against technology"
->Fundamental bet that there will be no technological disruption
"I don’t believe any Internet company is appropriate for short-term investors."
"It's too easy to check stock prices and it's a complete waste of time."
I almost spit out my coffee when he talked about dating:
"I am not the kind of person women fall in love with. I sort of grow on them, like a fungus."
Soros thought deeply about the self-reinforcing relationship between perception and reality:
"A boom/bust process occurs only when market prices find a way to influence the so-called fundamentals that are supposed to be reflected in market prices."
A recent example was the boom in "platform" companies as laid out in this excellent 2015 presentation.
"Shopify sells a simple SaaS solution that enables a business to quickly setup and run an online retail store. A typical customer signs up using their credit card and is up and running in a few hours"
@tobi
"We don’t feel like there is any immediate need to replace him as CEO"🧐
"He has a clear vision for building the business and recognizes his own shortcomings."