People have been asking me to debunk this thread "proving" that COVID-19 deaths are false positives by correlating things, but instead I thought I'd simply list a few things that are more well correlated than this
US spending on science, and suicides by hanging/strangulation/suffocation
99.97%
"Biology just isn't like that"
Divorce in Maine, consumption of margarine
99.26%
"Biology just isn't like that"
Arcade revenue and computer science doctorates
98.51%
"Biology just isn't like that"
These are all from the excellent Spurious Correlations website from Tyler Vigen, who also has a book out of the same name tylervigen.com/spurious-corre…
Anyway, it's perhaps not surprising that COVID-19 positive tests in hospital and deaths from COVID-19 would track somewhat, so there's not really much to debunk
No, most COVID-19 aren't false positives, even in hospital, no matter what conspiracy theorists on twitter say medium.com/@gidmk/most-po…
Oh, also, the second half of the thread can basically be explained by changes in testing between March and September, no resorting to vast government conspiracies required!
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Depressingly, there is little evidence that the pre-existing immunity from the first wave has substantially dampened viral spread, despite earlier hopes
Worth noting that Tegnell himself predicted that Sweden would reach "herd immunity" by mid-May originally, until serology studies proved that this was wrong
3/n I should say at the outset here - the only personal comment I would like to make about Professor Ioannidis is that he is a very smart man who I respect tremendously
I will, however, examine the paper, because I think that is what science is all about
A new report from the International Monetary Fund has a very interesting answer to the question 1/n
2/n The report is here, and well worth reading. At the outset I should say that ALL OF THIS EVIDENCE IS UNCERTAIN
The IMF is great, and has tried very hard to be accurate, but it is important to take care when reading these findings imf.org/en/Publication…
3/n The basic summation is simple:
- lockdowns probably cause economic harm
- large outbreaks of COVID-19 also cause harm
- it is hard to disentangle this complexity
- there are almost certainly situations in which lockdowns are beneficial to the economy