Thread by @MandarSawant184

My two cents on the story of Geeta Jain @connectGEETA joining Sena. She was a BJP rebel who fought n won Mira Bhayander seat in 2019.
She got the sympathy of BJP voters due to her I'll treatment by unpopular sitting BJP MLA and candidate Narendra Mehta

If Jain is now joining Sena then these are some factors,
1. Short term gains, funds for ger constituency and one more reason could be her husband is a builder.
2. She feels this MCA govt is here to stay for atleast two more years. So why waste the post in opposition

3. She thinks she could win in the next election on a Sena ticket, but which seems difficult to me given the demography.
4. Sena has burnt a lot of bridges with non Marathi voters (and even a lot of Marathi voters) due to SSR and Kangana case.Could be attempt by Penguin to expand

5. Sena cannot win on Marathi votebank which itself is not fully with them. Even muslim votebank cannot help as it is highly ghettoised Penguin knows this n so trying to do damage control among other demographies.

6. Sena has moved on as alliance with BJP is no longer tenable. BJP as ally was acquiring Sena voters in the post 2013 era. Uddhav n Penguin cannot compete with Modi in the popularity stakes

7. This move could be to win Thane Lok Sabha seat in 2024. As of now BJP has 3 seats (Belapur, Airoli, Thane city), Sena 2 (Kopri Pachpakhadi, Ghodbunder) and BJP leaning Independent Geeta Jain (Mira Bhayander).
BJP will win Thane LS in 2024. This is Sena attempt to give a fight