1/ This is another thread on the Azeri Drone War on Armenia.

I've seen a recent open source analysis of what the Azeri drones are doing to Russian air defense equipment in the hands of Armenia.
2/ The Azeris, with or w/o the assistance of Turk instructors, have killed a number of 9K33 Osa AKM / SA-8 GECKO systems, a number of S-300PS / SA-10B GRUMBLE battery components, and a 9K331 Tor M2KM / SA-15D GAUNTLET.
3/ 1st, there is a claimed GPS/inertial configuration for the larger MAM-L munition that allows it to glide to 14 km range from an unspecified altitude, likely the typical operating altitude for the TB2 of ~18 kft.

This is stand off range for Osa.

See:
roketsan.com.tr/en/product/mam…
4/ 2nd, The TB2's are flying a 100kt figure eight or race track orbit that is putting it's doppler shift speed to something lower than that.

Russian radar computers are filtering out those low speed tracks.
5/ This is not a new problem.

The USS Callaghan (DD-792), a Fletcher-class destroyer, was sunk 29 July 1945 by a 62 kt wood-and-fabric Yokosuka K5Y bi-plane kamikaze at night.

It's Mk37 fire control director/computer for it's radar directed 5" guns were set for 350 kts.

Opps
6/ 3rd, the Turks built TB2 from carbon-fiber composite (CFC) materials that are "lossy"** in the S-band where the SA-8, SA-15 and SA-22 acquisition radars operate.

AKA TB2's have a low but not stealthy radar return.
7/ ** Lossy = "Dielectrics that exhibit electromagnetic loss at microwave frequencies are used extensively in coupled-cavity traveling-wave tubes."
8/ 4th, The Turks are using low power jammers in the S-band to take advantage of #2 & #3 above in both the TB2 & their loitering munitions.

A single block like a 5X Small Size Jamming Transmitter Set was found in a downed Azeri loitering munition.

shoghicom.com/jamming-transm…
9/ It had four stub antenna that may have been 1/2 wavelength for S-band.

This is an example of one of the Azeri loitering munitions.
10/ 5th, One of two S-300 kills was by a Harop loitering munition and a TBM or MLRS

A TB2 video showed long distance from the 2nd S-300's & either a MLRS or short range ballistic missiles with a large warhead killing it.

11/ What the TB2 footage shows is a standing off from a significant distance with significant atmospheric turbulence distortion & slight jitter.

There was some speculation the TBM was an Israeli supplied LORA TBM.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LORA_(mis…
12/ For US Army SHORAD, there are several issues.

The 14km range at 18K feet of the MAM-L makes the M-SHORAD obsolete before it is deployed, even if it gets a AIM-9X.

13/ The US Army needs ground launched AMRAAM at the brigade level in the worst way to deal with medium altitude UAV systems with MAM-C or JDAMS 14 km stand off ranges.
14/14 Loitering munitions with jammers are a 2nd tier military power capability. That is not in the US Army ADA systems design, as far as the open sources I've read.

Why? I don't know.

A small jammer like the US Army's Hexjam can be put in a drone.

prc68.com/I/HEXJAM.shtml

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More from @TrentTelenko

20 Oct
@DWB55 Mr Burns,

I've quite a few maps of the New Guinea campaign.

Few to none do what you just did there...you show the Japanese side with naval combatants & transports of less than 1,000 tons.

MacArthur Reports has a few such maps.

US Naval historians would rather slit their...
@DWB55 ...wrists in a long warm bath before consulting that resource and almost none have looked at the Japanese & Australian small ships and barges role in the New Guinea campaign.

Doing so is not career enhancing for what it reveals about the WW2 USN narrative.
@DWB55 When you compare your map to this one. You get the air-sea-land context of the Japanese projecting power and guarding sea lines of communication.

Here we are at over 75 years since these combats and it's only now such maps are made?
Read 5 tweets
18 Oct
1/There has been a great deal on hypersonic weapons recently on Twitter.

This thread is my take on them & why Russia, China and the USA are going there.
2/I agree and disagree with one of the better recent twitter threads on hypersonic weapons.

Hypersonic weapons are yet another overhyped weapon system liked the F-35, Zumwalt DDG and Ford class carrier.

3/That does not mean deploying them would not aid the national security interests of China, Russia & the USA.

I have touched on Chinese interests with this tweet.

Read 26 tweets
18 Oct
@LarrySchweikart @GoroOuter If Sir Henry Phelps Brown & Sheila Hopkins did not address the massive shift in industrialization by electrification covering 1920 - 1965 they have a methodological problem.

The shift from line shaft & belt mechanical power transmission to electrical had huge productivity plus.
@LarrySchweikart @GoroOuter The widespread use of electric motors small enough to be connected directly to each piece of machinery meant any location with a concrete slab and electrical connections could be a factory.

It also made factories built post 1920 both easier to relocate and harder to destroy.
@LarrySchweikart @GoroOuter This is why the Soviet Union could relocate it's factories during the German invasion of 1941.

It is also why strategic bombing of German factories did not degrade production like pre-war air power theorists expected.

I've written about that here --
chicagoboyz.net/archives/58334…
Read 21 tweets
17 Oct
This naval boarding exercise is the 'gust front' of optionally crewed drone swarm boarding actions.

While the jet suit in that exercise was not the best. There are others which may be far better for the human.

This Bastille Day demonstration made clear you can fly on a drone-like platform with and assault rifle.

And if you are thinking a Marvel comic Green Goblin's goblin glider, you would not be wrong.

But there is no reason that the Bastille Day Flyboard couldn't be remotely operated after delivering it's armed crewman.
Read 10 tweets
17 Oct
@downix @RupprechtDeino There are three issues with air certifying a SM-6.

1. Cold soak issues
2. Structural carry modifications
3. Vibration hardening from carrier launch & flight carriage.

Raytheon has recent experience w/cold soak.
tucson.com/business/local…
@downix @RupprechtDeino Structural carry modifications to the missile frame would be where the cost in the SM-6 upgrade would live.

However, compared to the new AIM-260 rocket ramjet design. An air-launched SM-6 would be longer ranged & have a much bigger installed base to work from upon introduction.
@downix @RupprechtDeino Vibration hardening from carrier launch & air carriage is another one of those "not easy" issues.

The AIM-120's carriage on F-16 wing tip hard points in the 1990's & 2000's in the various no-fly zones killed a generation of Slammer war shot dead, dead, dead.
Read 6 tweets
17 Oct
@downix @RupprechtDeino Needs must when the devil drives. The SM-6 needs the delta vee a SM-3's 21 inch diameter booster can provide to get on a reciprocal trajectory for an HGV.

Granted, you are going to need ablative coating for the upper atmosphere as opposed to exoatmosphere flight.

Also granted
@downix @RupprechtDeino ... you are going to have issues with ionization for the radar at high supersonic speed requiring a back up sensor.

And likely the SM-6 stage atop the SM-3 booster will need a AMRAAM type multiple pulse solid rocket motor modification for the HGV intercept profile.
@downix @RupprechtDeino Raytheon's corporate engineering culture is capable of these sorts of modifications rapidly because they have had a stable and long experienced engineering team for the Standard missile that almost no other defense contractor in the world can match.
Read 6 tweets

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