Thread by @MichaKobs

Bellingcat cannot resist pushing one selective half-truth after another into their propaganda tube. This time it is a suddenly "leaked" letter from Arias (OPCW) that says absolutely nothing new except...
bellingcat.com/news/mena/2020…

It shows a very questionable and lax attitude of Arias to conclude from the presence of chlorine to the use of a weapon.

The chemistry / idea behind this letter has been known since Bellingcat's "No one bleaches a chandelier! article. And we have already chewed this through and through. But let us summarize it again.

https://twitter.com/MichaKobs/status/1290229319726297088

A 260kg (when full) cylinder hits - allegedly - horizontally on a roof. Therefore it is horizontally - and only horizontally - deformed. But the valve, which had to cut horizontally through the concrete, suffered no significant damage.

We know, the hole in the roof is too short to allow the cylinder to pass horizontally. But passing horizontally is the only way to explain the damage to the cylinder.
A meticulous analysis of the image material proves this.

So Bellingcat came up with a really stupid idea and claimed that the on-site drawings of the engineers are wrong. They picked a scale and shrunk the cylinder!!! which reminds of a bad schoolboy joke.

https://twitter.com/MichaKobs/status/1225906483612835845

In fact, the enineer's-drawing is very precise and for explanation, the drawing shows the actual size of the hole in the roof, while Bellingcat chose the top edge, because the hole is about 10cm wider at the top edge.

https://twitter.com/MichaKobs/status/1225940899022155776

A few milliseconds later, the cylinder hit the floor and, according to Arias' OPCW report, it "bounced" on the bed thanks to its residual speed.
As proof, the report shows the image of a finite element analysis by those anonymous external ballistics experts.

However, this FEA proves the opposite. The two graphs limit the possible range between
a) not break through the roof and
b) strike through the floor
and in this whole area the cylinder could not bounce further than 40cm!!!

https://twitter.com/MichaKobs/status/1219680469178036225

Before the cylinder came to rest on the bed, Arias' OPCW and her Bellincat-post-truthers had already lied at least 3 times with all their might and tried to twist the facts. But let's see more...

The first video of this cylinder came from Bilal. He shows the bed in a whitish coloration, which can only be caused by an icing of the surface, because it disappeared the next day, while the polystyrene balls did not move.

https://twitter.com/MichaKobs/status/1221617018211880962

However, icing occurs ONLY in contact with liquid Cl - i.e. vapor. If a leak is large enough to allow liquid chlorine to reach the blanket, the cylinder would be empty in about 5 minutes.
The video of OPCW-country-X-witness Bilal was taken 12 hours after the alleged attack.

Another video was shot 24 hours later by Bilal's friend, another OPCW-country-X witness. The blanket now had its actual brown color with a woven pattern.
In this video you can hear the birds chirping in front of the window, which is about to become very relevant!

Finally, Bellingcat partner Forensic Architecture came up with an incredible anal-ysis. They produced a crippled cylinder model, showed it in absurd perspectives, identified dust as gradually melting frost and such nonsense more, but...

They also presented a previously unknown video of this bed cylinder, which was fed to them by those activists loyal to Jaish al Islam. This video was recorded 48 hours after the alleged gas attack.

The main argument of Forensic Architecture was the "hissing" noise of the gas.
This hissing 48 hours after the alleged attack and 12 hours after silence and birdsong proves only one thing: these activists turned the valve open and closed as they needed it for their videos.

And now that we know without a doubt that chlorine was discharged over the bed several times by OPCW-country-X witnesses, we can talk about the Arias letter quoted by Bellingcat and its probative value for the use of chemical weapons.

We may also wonder why Aria's OPCW report found no hint for the use of bleach, even though several victims had apparently bathed in it.

We can ask ourselves why the OPCW was transformed into a blaming institution but despite lists with completely different victim names, and despite Syrian offers neither autopsy nor any identification was done.

https://twitter.com/MichaKobs/status/1220614264785899521

We may wonder why ALL witnesses who stayed in Douma have been removed from Arias' OPCW report as untrustworthy. ...but their hosing images were widly (mis)used like little Omrah and even Bana .

We can wonder about the twin crater, the fire below a bright white frozen cylinder in a black and sooty hole, the neclegted fragmentation pattern, missing dust on surfaces, missing damage...
In the end we talk about two institutions who do NOTHING but narrative control in color.

No, P. Hitchens @ClarkeMicah and A. Mate @aaronjmate, this letter changes absolutely nothing.
It is irrelevant and therefore it was never mentioned.
But voter/tax payer/war player like Bob und Polly should think that Bellingcat has something.

P.S. Since you cannot use the same rocket motor twice and the scatches along the body were caused by inertia, we have evidence that the very same players faked chemical attacks before.

"Pioneers tell only the truth. People love that."