Media gossip aside, the country continues to accelerate into the worst mass death catastrophe its experienced in 75 years.
A staggering percentage of households with children are food insecure and 100,000 small businesses are teetering on the edge of failure.
The effects of this calamity, a preventable one, or at the very least a far more manageable one, fall disproportionately on those who are poor, working class, and non-white.
It has exacerbated and exploited nearly every existing inequity and injustice in America.
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This piece from @rmc031 about school safety amidst Covid is a really worthwhile read. It pumps the breaks on the level of certainty we have that "the science says" in-person schooling is totally fine. Since she quotes me, I want to add some thoughts (1/x)
As she argues, our knowledge in this sphere is provisional and incomplete and also in places contradictory (for example children's viral load/contagiousness).
But the problem of course is that policy - across all kinds of spheres - has to be made under uncertainty.
There are things we do have a pretty clear picture of, like what the absolute highest risk environments are: nursing homes, meat packing plants, nightclubs, packed indoor worship services with singing, bars, college house parties, etc...
A lot of the defenses of Trump on Covid remind me of the years-long effort to defend Bush's Iraq War policy. Lots of special pleading and contortions until everyone kind of just gave up, slunk away and quietly admitted it was a colossal mistake.
In the end, no one really did much soul-searching or reckoning. It was just kinda "whoops!" that became "end endless wars!" as a slogan but never actual policy and an attempt to decry the libs for being the deep state, #actually.
But the brutal fact is that two consecutive GOP presidencies have led the country into epochal disasters, widespread misery and mass death and there's a reason that's the case.
OK, so from my interviews with a ton of epidemiologists over the last bunch of months, here's a pretty straightforward plan to suppress the virus and get the US to something like, say, 90% of normal life. Three steps!
1) Mask Up: Short of a national order (which strikes me as tough, enforcement-wise) getting all governors to issue state-wide mask orders would be enormously helpful. Messaging is vital. CDC data shows how important AZ's order was in suppressing its summer outbreak.
2) Bar Rescue: Have the federal government pay every last bar, restaurant, nightclub, theatre and concert venue to stay closed for the next nine months. You'd remove *enormous* pressure to reopen things that aren't safe, and it probably pays for itself.
Since McConnell et al are trying to lie about their own position on the ACA and the entire GOP is committed to denying what they're doing, let's take a quick tour down memory lane, shall we?
The ACA passed in 2010 with not a single GOP vote in the senate. Basically unprecedented for major legislation *as Republicans were constantly hammering home.*
They kept saying "This is not bi-partisan; we hate it! We want it gone!"
As soon as it passed, the GOP focused their entire message on repealing the law, and then voted over ***60 times*** to repeal it once they took control of the house.
They also initiated a complete government shutdown to unsuccessfully force the issue.
For the first 3 or so years of Trump's term there was certain mode of analysis fairly common among self-styled savvy centrists, #Resistance averse leftists, and tons of conservatives that basically held that everyone freaking out about Trump was being overwrought and hysterical.
The argument went, look, yes, he's a jerk and says crazy stuff, but the country is basically not that changed: unemployment is low, daily life continues as normal, there aren't tanks in the streets. You libs have lost your minds, obsessing over Russia and each new scandal, etc
Now, the counter argument was: look at the incompetence and cruelty on display in the aftermath of hurricane Maria, and the mass child abuse of child separation, and the vicious racism. Look at how far he is willing to go for power, whether in 2016, or in the Ukraine affair.
Yes by now anyone with a pulse knows polls can move and/or be wrong. But if you pay close attention to Texas polls, you know things are movingly *remarkably* quickly.
Romney won Texas by 15 points.
Trump won by 9 points.
Cruz by 2.6
Not only that, Democrats flipped a number of suburban red districts in 2018, and are targetting 7 more. (I think they'll pick up a few for sure.) They also elected a County Judge in Harris County, which woulda been inconceivable a short while ago