1) Montreal’s public health director finally acknowledged on Friday what many suspected — that it’s the schools in the city that are witnessing the biggest increase in both #COVID19 cases and outbreaks. In this thread, I will examine the implications of this in the weeks ahead.
2) Dr. Karl Weiss, one of Quebec’s leading infectious diseases expert, suggested at the end of September that the province’s second wave was triggered by the reopening of schools. Weiss told me recently he caught a lot of flak for making that remark.
3) For weeks, public health officials maintained that #COVID19 clusters in schools were merely a reflection of what was going on in the community. But on Friday, there were more outbreaks in the city’s schools (93) than in the workplace and health-care institutions combined (85).
4) One of those schools, Ali Ibn Abi Talib, has been ordered to close for two weeks after a major outbreak. Dr. Mylène Drouin, director of public health, noted #COVID19 cases were found in nearly every class, a worrisome development. montrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
5) Provincially, the picture is not much better for schools. The Education Ministry on Friday reported that the number of shuttered classes due to #COVID19 exposure is 938, up by 18 since Thursday. Active cases are also rising, as you can see from the chart below.
6) Drouin explained that authorities have made progress in reducing the number of workplace outbreaks. This is largely a result of the belated decision to reinstate the closing of bars, gyms and the dining areas of restaurants a month ago. But what about new measures for schools?
7) Despite #coronavirus clusters, hospitalizations and cases in eldercare homes still rising in Montreal, Drouin hinted of a new plan to reopen public libraries and allow certain sports and cultural activities. Yet she spoke of no plan to curb the expanding contagion in schools.
8) The only new measure for schools that Premier François Legault announced this week is requiring Grade 9 students to study at home one out of every two days. Why not extend that to Grades 7 and 8? Why not mandate face coverings in Grades 4 and up, as Ontario has done?
9) Meanwhile, Montreal posted 277 new #COVID19 cases Friday, up from 245 the day before. The seven-day rolling average in the metropolis was 117.96 infections per million population, up from 115.19 on Thursday — still very much red-zone territory. See the chart below.
10) At the neighborhood level, #coronavirus transmission is the highest in districts with lots of schools like Côte-des-Neiges, Ahuntsic (where Ali Ibn Abi Talib closed) and Saint-Léonard. This is a big problem that deserves attention. Will authorities address it? End of thread.
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1) Quebec’s schools are at what appears to be a worrying turning point in the #pandemic, with teachers who are exhausted, and with the weather turning cold, windows can no longer stay open in classrooms to provide ventilation. In this thread, I'll examine what’s happening.
2) Since Friday, three schools have announced they're closing temporarily after #COVID19 outbreaks: a private Montreal elementary and high school (Ali Ibn Abi Talib), a second in Boisbriand (Gabrielle-Roy, with the daycare shut, too) and a third in Trois-Rivières (Cardinal-Roy).
3) On Friday, the Education Ministry declared a record 2,377 active #COVID19 cases, with 1,934 infected students and 443 staff contracting the #coronavirus. In addition, 938 classes have been shuttered. The ministry doesn’t keep track of schools that have closed.
1) Across Canada, some efforts are underway to improve ventilation in schools to prevent children and teens from contracting #COVID19. In Quebec, however, little is being done. In this thread, I will call upon the provincial government to do something fast.
2) I first urged authorities in Quebec to upgrade ventilation in schools in early August. On Sept.26, with most schools already open for a month, Education Minister Jean-François Roberge announced $20 million for the maintenance of existing ventilation, not upgrades.
3) That investment works out to less than $7,000 per school. Quebec, with one-tenth of Germany’s population, is investing 2.37% of what Germany is spending to upgrade the ventilation of its public buildings, including schools and universities.
1) Quebec Premier François Legault elaborated on Thursday about his endorsement of two tweets suggesting that Ontario might be under-reporting its #COVID19 deaths. In this thread, I will fact-check this assertion and show why it is inaccurate.
2) Legault was responding to a question by CTV Montreal reporter @KellyGreig to explain why he retweeted a couple of tweets on this issue. The first was a retweet of a comment by @EricGrenierJB, editor-in-chief of L’actualité médicale regarding one by an Ontario epidemiologist.
3) In the original tweet, epidemiologist David Fisman was alluding to a July study, titled, “An analysis of mortality in Ontario using cremation data.” Fisman tweeted there was “a LOT of excess cremations.” But Fisman did not suggest Ontario was under-reporting #COVID19 deaths.
1) Montreal’s #COVID19 testing positivity rate has increased to 5.6% from 5.2% last week, signalling that the #pandemic's second wave is far from over in the city. A couple of boroughs are reporting rates as high as 7.6% In this thread, I will try to explain what this means.
2) By comparison, the city of Boston’s positivity rate jumped to 5.7% last week from 4.5% a week earlier, prompting authorities to close all public schools. This raises the question as to why Quebec has not imposed more restrictions on Montreal schools.
3) On Monday, Premier François Legault did require that Grade 9 students in high schools in red zones like Montreal learn online at home one out of two days a week. Legault did so as the number of active #COVID19 cases has risen steadily in schools across the province.
1) Montreal on Tuesday reported mixed results in the #pandemic, with #COVID19 cases increasing, but the number of outbreaks in the workplace dropping from a week ago. In this thread, I will try to make sense of these conflicting trends during the second wave.
2) The chart below released late Tuesday afternoon by the Montreal public health department shows that 196 workers have tested positive for the #coronavirus, down by 50 from Oct. 20. What’s more, the number of #COVID19 clusters has decreased by 10 to 58.
3) The workplace category that is observing the most dramatic drop (13 fewer outbreaks) includes restaurants, bars, gyms, hotels, motels and temporary employment agencies. That stands to reason, since the government closed restos, bars and gyms on Oct. 1.
1) Three weeks after Quebec required high school students to wear masks all day in red zones, Premier François Legault announced Monday Grade 9 students will join those in Grades 10 and 11 in learning online at home one out of two days. In this thread, I'll examine this measure.
2) Legault held his news conference at 5 p.m. after the Education Ministry released its latest statistics revealing 52 more #COVID19 cases in schools since Friday, 11 more shuttered classes and three more schools with confirmed infections. See the chart below.
3) For its part, covidecolesquebec.org reported Monday night 32 more schools with at least one positive case among students or staff since Sunday. After the number of #COVID19 cases in schools dropped a week ago, the latest figures appear to indicate an upswing.