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JC Punongbayan Profile picture
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1 Nov, 5 tweets, 2 min read
What a depressing graph. Based on IMF forecasts, the Philippines will suffer one of the biggest declines in GDP growth between 2019 to 2025. 😭

Pre-COVID, we were a rising star. But because of Duterte's botched pandemic response, that status has been washed away like dolomite.
Source:
ft.com/content/8b2864…
2 weeks ago I wrote this:

rappler.com/voices/thought…
Last week I parsed Google's mobility data and saw that Pinoys are avoiding public places more than their ASEAN counterparts. Consumer confidence, key to the recovery, still hasn't returned.

rappler.com/voices/thought…
between 2019 *and 2025

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More from @jcpunongbayan

JC Punongbayan Profile picture
9 Jun
Terror bill proponents say hirap daw ang gobyerno kasuhan ang suspected terrorists dahil sa kawalan ng ebidensya.

Pero di ba lumobo na nga ang confidential & intelligence funds ng gobyerno? Yung sa OP lang lumobo na sa P4.5b from ~P500m during Aquino's time (9x as high).
Halos kalahati ng total intelligence funds napunta lang sa Office of the President. At halos 2/3 ng total confidential funds napunta rin sa OP.
OP's 2020 budget = P8,201,318,000
Intelligence & confidential funds = P4,500,000,000

So MORE THAN HALF of the OP's budget ang intelligence, confidential funds. Tapos di kayo makabuo ng kaso vs terrorists at gusto pa ng bagong batas???

Don't us.

#JUNKTERRORBILLNOW
Read 4 tweets
JC Punongbayan Profile picture
13 Apr
Sino ang middle class?

Ayon sa pag-aaral ni Dr @toots_albert ng @PIDS_PH, as of 2017, ito yung mga pamilyang kumikita ng P19k hanggang P114k kada buwan (o 2 to 12 times ng poverty line).

Source: pidswebs.pids.gov.ph/CDN/PUBLICATIO…

#MiddleClassKaKung
Ganito ang itsura ng populasyon ng Pilipinas ayon sa income classes. Noong 2015, 40% ng mga household sa Pilipinas ang maituturing na middle class:

26% lower-middle
10% middle-middle (lol)
4% upper-middle

Source: pidswebs.pids.gov.ph/CDN/PUBLICATIO…

#MiddleClassKaKung
Sa urban areas di hamak na mas malaki ang porsiyento ng middle class (63% noong 2015) kumpara sa rural areas (34%).

Source: pidswebs.pids.gov.ph/CDN/PUBLICATIO…

#MiddleClassKaKung
Read 4 tweets
JC Punongbayan Profile picture
6 Apr
Ok pera ang topic niya tonight. #TheLateShowWithTheLatePresidentDuterte
Ano kamo? Magnakaw na lang si Dominguez?

KALA KO BA MAY PERA
Sa kanya na mismo nanggagaling. GOV'T IS CASH-STRAPPED.
Read 11 tweets
JC Punongbayan Profile picture
5 Apr
THREAD: May pera nga ba ang Duterte gov't para labanan ang #COVID19?

A collection of must-read threads and tweets by concerned development/budget/social protection/econ geeks.
The thread that started it all.

A rundown of possible funding sources.

Read 8 tweets
JC Punongbayan Profile picture
30 Dec 19
THREAD: TOP 10 RAPPLER ARTICLES OF 2019

This year I wrote a total of 54 Rappler pieces, more than I wrote any year prior. Here are the top 10 pieces of 2019 based on the impressions/engagement.
(1) Just how bad was corruption during the Marcos years?

There's renewed interest on the Marcoses these days. This piece, which I wrote before this year's ML declaration anniv, talks about the extent and depth of Marcosian corruption.

rappler.com/thought-leader…
(2) Vote for the opposition, you owe it to yourself

Many were shocked by the appalling loss of the opposition in this year's midterm elections. They sorely lacked resources. But in May I made the case why people should vote for them nonetheless.
rappler.com/thought-leader…
Read 12 tweets
JC Punongbayan Profile picture
27 Jul 19
THREAD: Why Duterte's blanket ban on PCSO games is not so much anti-gambling but anti-poor.
Based on PCSO's 2018 annual report, they generated last year P63.6 billion in net receipts, 30% of which went to their Charity Fund which finances various health and medical assistance programs.

pcso.gov.ph/pcsofiles/tran…
Last year PCSO benefitted more than half a million patients nationwide who received about P8.7 billion worth of medical assistance, mostly in relation to confinements, medicines, and lab/diagnostic procedures.
Read 7 tweets

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