Reporters & activists spent a primary year portraying Democrats as moving left & embracing ideological politics. But Biden has run a decidedly non-ideological campaign. If he & moderate Senate candidates win, unclear why they would learn a different lesson than they normally do
Relative Dem underperformance with minorities might lead to calls for a return to more identity-based appeals. But high turnout could reduce perceptions of turnout/persuasion trade-off for moderation. Some Dem primary fights will continue but could be harder in Rep backlash years
In governance, Dems may encounter similar internal difficulties as 2009 (even with many of same issues, eg health & climate). But the left traditionally concedes if the alternative is passing nothing. It’s unclear why that changes now. & Red state Dems may get cautious quickly
See also my Republican thread below. I see little reason to expect the parties’ traditional & asymmetric electoral interpretations (& their differing policy impacts) to change. Party evolution is more likely than realignment or declining asymmetry. The dynamics of 2020 reinforce
https://twitter.com/mattgrossmann/status/1323252629737189382
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