MICHIGAN:
Lot of the vote out, but I think it’s good. Turnout up everywhere, eyeballing it looks at least neutral for Dems, maybe even better. Forest counties in the North & semi-rural places Biden +2-4 vs Hillary, inner ring Macomb +4 to +6
Michigan looks good
Lot of the vote out, but I think it’s good. Turnout up everywhere, eyeballing it looks at least neutral for Dems, maybe even better. Forest counties in the North & semi-rural places Biden +2-4 vs Hillary, inner ring Macomb +4 to +6
Michigan looks good
MICHIGAN:
More counties +70% in. Rural areas Trump running from even to 1-2 points over 2016. But Biden +3-4 points (third party vote explains diff). Trump netting more vote in rural areas, but Biden’s net gains in suburbs are greater. MI looks very good
More counties +70% in. Rural areas Trump running from even to 1-2 points over 2016. But Biden +3-4 points (third party vote explains diff). Trump netting more vote in rural areas, but Biden’s net gains in suburbs are greater. MI looks very good
We’ll almost certainly win enough states for Joe Biden to next POTUS. Trump will probably get about the same % as last time (46%-47%) but Biden will prob get about 51%-52%. Electoral college is horrible, but if 5%-6% more votes isn’t enough to be POTUS we’re a failed state
MICHIGAN (update)
Biden will win by 1.5-2 pts. vs 2016, Trump gained in small rural counties, Biden modestly on Lake Mich/around Flint & Lansing. He cut Trump’s margins in big Repub counties & in Macomb, improved in Wayne/Detroit, & gained 70K in Oakland & Washtenaw (Ann Arbor)
Biden will win by 1.5-2 pts. vs 2016, Trump gained in small rural counties, Biden modestly on Lake Mich/around Flint & Lansing. He cut Trump’s margins in big Repub counties & in Macomb, improved in Wayne/Detroit, & gained 70K in Oakland & Washtenaw (Ann Arbor)
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
