MSNBC showing all the ways it’s a done deal, while simultaneously the NBC decision desk guy is on NBC, making the argument for why they’re not calling it, that based on what MSNBC is reporting is completely nonsensical.
The difference btwn the exasperation on MSNBC & the “but MAYBE Trump could win” obtuseness on NBC is really something.
I wonder if the decision desk people at the other networks are afraid of taking the crap the Fox guy has taken.
Fuck it, we just called it

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More from @DanaHoule

4 Nov
MICHIGAN:

Lot of the vote out, but I think it’s good. Turnout up everywhere, eyeballing it looks at least neutral for Dems, maybe even better. Forest counties in the North & semi-rural places Biden +2-4 vs Hillary, inner ring Macomb +4 to +6

Michigan looks good
MICHIGAN:

More counties +70% in. Rural areas Trump running from even to 1-2 points over 2016. But Biden +3-4 points (third party vote explains diff). Trump netting more vote in rural areas, but Biden’s net gains in suburbs are greater. MI looks very good
We’ll almost certainly win enough states for Joe Biden to next POTUS. Trump will probably get about the same % as last time (46%-47%) but Biden will prob get about 51%-52%. Electoral college is horrible, but if 5%-6% more votes isn’t enough to be POTUS we’re a failed state
Read 4 tweets
2 Oct
This means either they do everything for themselves, or they’re bringing SS agents, valets, intel briefers, etc in to the quarantine w them.
This also means he’ll be watching even more Fox than usual.
Everyone on that plane should be quarantined.
Read 6 tweets
30 Sep
The only thing Biden needs to achieve is to reassure the undecided 10% that he can be entrusted to do the job.

That’s how to judge this. Not as aesthetics or accuracy. It’s a personal presentation.
Biden may or may not be doing great. But don’t do that “whatever Trump does works” thing. He’s doing horribly.
If you want to bring people together your answer probably shouldn’t be about generals & cops.
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
This is especially bad for Trump when you remember ABC/WaPo tends to run a little bit Repub-friendly.
“Trump, for his part, is suffering attrition among his 2016 supporters; 8% of them now back Biden instead. While a small slice of the electorate…”

That’s a lot! That’s about 3.8% of the 2016 PA electorate. He won lMI, WI, PA, FL, AZ, & NC each by less than 3.8% (GA was 5.1%) Image
[Somehow endeded up w NM for Trump. If Trump wins NM we’re moving to Canada]
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep
They’re making her in to a saint for adopting poor black children from the country where Donald Trump thinks everyone has AIDS. It appears she’ll willingly accept the adoration

I think that’s gross

Adopting isn’t an act or decision. It’s a lifelong set of moral ambiguities /2
Every adoption is tangled up in sadness & loss. If you do everything right & you’re lucky it can be OK. Different, but OK. But adopting infants or toddlers w whom you have no preexisting connection isn’t something that makes you a wonderful person. It’s something you do…/3
…so you can raise children. Maybe it’s something to do to raise children in addition to your own bio children. But people need to stop thinking about it as some saintly act that saved one from a sea of millions of children awaiting adoption. There aren’t millions of children /4
Read 15 tweets
24 Sep
Barely been online today, but from what I can tell a lot of people freaking out about stuff that should have already seemed obvious

Fact that Dems aren’t talking much publicly about peaceful transfer of power means that’s what they have decided—almost certainly informed...
...by research/polling—that it makes it harder to win & win big to make it _harder_ for Trump to steal the election

_Harder_

I doubt anyone thinks Trump won’t try to steal the election _again_.

_Again_

Trump will not leave the White House unless he’s dragged out. He...
...will do everything possible to avoid leaving the White House because staying in the White House keeps him out of jail _and_ broke. Because The Trump Organization is a corrupt organization & will be ripped apart if he leaves the White House

So, what to do about it?

First...
Read 6 tweets

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