We don't know. There are some serious reasons to think the remaining vote could be Republican
https://twitter.com/Zamboni231/status/1324070138547707904?s=20
Basically, Democrats rushed their mail ballots in this year. That meant the mail requests that hadn't been returned, heading into the weekend, were quite Republican. This was clear well in advanced
https://mobile.twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1319969436137410562
But...
--in general mail ballots have been decent for Biden--even Republican ones.
--the late mail ballots may also be quite young
--it's possible that these Republicans just voted in person, and we don't know it yet
--in general mail ballots have been decent for Biden--even Republican ones.
--the late mail ballots may also be quite young
--it's possible that these Republicans just voted in person, and we don't know it yet
If you've learned anything so far from this election, it ought to be that vote results can be very different by time and method! And until you've seen a group of ballots from that time and method, you just can't be *extremely* confident about just how good they are
The likeliest outcome in Arizona, by far, is that these ballots are good enough for Biden. But I don't think we can be *100%* confident about that until we've seen some of them
If the ballots *aren't* what Trump needs, we'll know fairly quickly. I'd think that even if the first batch aren't super Trump, that it will be all that the networks need to know
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