Pre-2012, @NumbersMuncher unskewing polls. If not for pro-Obama Sandy coverage, I think he would be proven right as seen from anti-GOP polling messes since). But at the time, the Muncher looked bad so he went off Twitter for a while. Why is @Redistrict not in hiding for a week?
One day before the 2020 election, Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) wrote that @HouseDemocrats will pick up a net 10-15 seats in the House. They lost 5-12.
“Where is the accountability” you ask? By you RTing this and showing it to political “reporters” who parrot Wasserman.
A night before the 2020 election, Charles Cook told @Lawrence that @SenateDems will pick up anywhere from 2-3 to 5-7 seats.
Dems seem to be getting at best a net of 3 if they crush the GOP in the GA runoffs.
2-3 was the low end for Cook; not the high end.
Clueless hack.
Cook’s Senate math (that the low end for Dems is 2-3 seats) included “Toss Ups” such as Graham and Daines (both won by 10); Collins (won by 8.8) Ernst (6.6).
Jones’ seat in AL was only “lean R” but the R won by 20 points.
McConnell was “likely R” (not solid R). He won by 20+.
Meanwhile, look at my prediction of Sunday night pre-election.
The Trump fans (dreaming of a Trump sweep) and the Experts (expecting a Biden blowout) were both wrong.
Per @CookPolitical Wed pre-election day, Dems were going to flip a half dozen state houses but they won zero and they lost seats in many states. (They sure lost here in NY after expecting mass pick ups).
A big circus this season is the Lincoln Project who while lining their pickets with money from @maddow fans were certain that the GOP will get wiped out and that they (LP) will “rebuild” the party after its Trump-induced losses. In the end, the Trump GOP did quite well this year.
Election Day AM, @Nate_Cohn was SO confident in Biden’s polling strength that Nate ripped @TomBevanRCP’s approach to averaging polls. Cohen said the cut off are “set to show better results for Trump.”
Well, in many states the results for Trump were even better than RCP average.
Back in Oct 2016, @CharlieCookDC predicted that @HillaryClinton will win. A day before the election, his website gave Trump only 214 Electorales.
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Obama/Biden Admin spent six months chasing the Russia Collusion hoax.
Brennon/Clapper both admitted that they had nothing by 1/20/17. Yet @Comey went ahead for 5 more months.
Then Mueller looked at it for 22 months.
We can’t spend a few weeks to look at ballot integrity? Pls!
Electors vote mid-December. The rush to claim Biden a winner now (when it can be done in a month or more from now) is a tactic to weaken any calls to review ballots in WI, GA, AZ and PA. It is designed to increase GOP calls that Trump should join the call for a “graceful exit.”
The @TeamTrump PR claim (not sure if it will work out this way):
“We will win AZ and GA outright or after a (hand) recount of all mail in ballots or at a minimum mail ins in counties that used the same software that caused an (alleged) anti-Trump glitch in MI. With AZ/GA aside,
Here is why Liberals are not fully happy with the 2020 results:
Their writers and pundits spent years yelling that @realDonaldTrump is divisive and racist and that he won 2016 due to middle America whites who are racists. The Leftists also claimed that changing demographics will
be Trump’s undoing and it will take down the whole GOP with him. Trump however increased his 2020 vote total by 15% from 2016 thanks to help from monitories while Biden won due to vote of the aforementioned whites who Libs claimed are racists. Worse, Biden’s electoral margin
will echo Trump’s margin of 2016 or less (depending how GA and AZ end up), and this was during a pandemic; during an economic downturn; with a mass mail-in vote system that massively favors Dems, and despite tech companies choking off conservative voices in ways not done to Libs.
In 2000, @algore asked to recount only 4 Dem-majority counties hoping to get votes; he wanted ballot rule changes and he wanted to stop military ballots. SCOTUS stopped his fraud.
He/Dems/Media then spent years claiming Bush “stole” the election.
Gore 2000 was an easier stoey than Trump 2020 because it was just one state; one state that if won decided the presidency; the margins were a few 100 votes, and major media enabled a challenge while here they are kneecapping Trump.
The game is over.
BTW my pre-elex prediction:
If Trump wins GA; IIIFFF he wins AZ, then the race came down to PA (if NC is also with Trump), so yes. Looking at mail in ballots in that one state does make sense and perhaps in WI too where the diff is 20K votes. But alas, some @SenateGOP’s are already undercutting Trump.
The whole news business went along with the conspiracy (went along? Pushed for three years) that Russia made Trump POTUS; that Trump’s presidency is illegitimate due to it. Yet when Trump raises issues about an election days after the election, those same actors pounce?
Frauds!
The people in this video and/or their employers fueled a Dem-funded conspiracy about Russia for three years. See what they yell now:
“Why are you lying to the American people about that” (vote fraud)?
In 9 swing states in 2016 (WI, IA, OH, MI, PA, NC, FL, AZ, NV) Trump beat the polls on average by 2.9 points
Now the beat average in those states is 3.3; which is a marginal difference, but the average does not say the real story where it mattered most. Consider:
In 2016, Trump beat the PA average by 2.8 but now it’s in the 0.5 range; depending on the final outcome. This change is the diff between winning/losing a state.
In 2016, he beat MI’s average by 3.9 but now only 1.6 and lost.
WI in 2016 he beat by 7.2; now it’s 6.2’ish and lost.
Trump’s 2016 win in WI was 0.7; now a loss of 0.6.
Trump fans’ hope for a Trump win was that Trump, on average, will beat polls by better margins than 2016 but among the 9 listed states the beat is almost the same, and Trump was weaker in key states and indeed lost there.
Think of all the media coverage of Trump since mid-2015; think of how many Biden stories were buried, and think of the massive censorship done by Big Tech of GOP/Conservative voices.
Then think of the fact that Biden did not clean house tonight.
The last few days there was outrage on the idea of Trump coming out election night to suggest that he is a winner. Trump folded and canceled any such talk.
But just like that Biden is speaking now and suggesting that he is in a strong position.
Imagine Trump did it B4 Biden.
Now that Biden spoke, Trump tweets that he too will speak.