This is close to the final result. Total turnout will be around.. 160 million !! (record) (60% turnout)
Biden will pass 80 MILLION VOTES
Margin 51% to 47% (2% third party). 4% difference = 6M vote margin for Biden over Trump
The Electoral College MINIMUM for Biden is 306-217. that is almost exact mirror to Hillary's EC loss to Trump.
Best EC case still possible for Biden is 323 -200.
This wave helps us ALSO down-ballot. We have ALREADY won 2 Senate seats, may gain more. We MAY still take Senate
In the House races the SAME MATH applies. Yes we of course lost some House seats, that we KNEW would happen.
But we will ALSO pick up House seats, when all House races are called. EXACTLY like Trump states won, the close races now counted - we will win some
We won big in 2020
PS this election in 2020 was NOT a close election. It just SEEMED that way, because of the way the vote count came in. THIS was a BIG WIN for DEMs. This was NOT a close election. Any idiot pundits still saying that, are defective in math.
Remember, they are STILL counting votes
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I expect Mnuchin to have STOLEN roughly a Trillion dollars. That is NOT typical Trumpian/Republican mismanagement or cronyism like tax cuts for billionaires or money laundering via Covid funding. I mean
STOLEN
Short thread...
You remember the most vile American ever to have lived? Manafort. He arranged the kleptocracies in countries on four continents. He was the go-to guy for Marcos, Mobutu Sese Seko & Yanukovich, etc - murderer dictator monsters FAR FAR more horrid (in their countries) than Trump
In each case, Manafort organized the LARGEST heist of public property & government funds into pockets of the dictators, that DECIMATED those countries - often for DECADES to come.
That was a 'young Manafort' before he got his hands onto the biggest piggy-bank ever: USA
Quick sanity check on the actual election result. Not the bullshit nonsense that was poisoning election coverage. The ACTUAL result
it was a WAVE election! Turnout is even higher than Obama 2008 wave, by percent of Americans who voted ! Around 60% !! A MONSTER election, and...
..and this was NOT A CLOSE ELECTION. It 'seemed' close, because of the bizarre vote-count this year, but experts (like me) WARNED you how the votes will be counted this time.
The ACTUAL result gives Joe Biden a victory of AT LEAST 6 million vote margin & AT LEAST 4% drubbing
No sitting President has ever been defeated by a LARGER national vote AGAINST the sitting President, than 51% of votes that Joe Biden got. Even Jimmy Carter was removed with only 50.7% for Ronald Reagan.
Trump was NEVER near US population support. His vote % will be under 47%
That speech by Vice President-Elect Kamala Harris as a SPEECH was unusual. Presidential victory speeches do NOT feature the VP. They are delivered by the winning President-Elect
That Joe gave this platform to Kamala tells us how serious Joe is
Most Presidents do not give the Vice President much power. Donald Trump despises Mike Pence, did not even JOIN Pence on the night Trump announced Pence as his Veep, to dine with Pence. When Trump gave Pence the task to lead the Covid task force, Trump then hijacked that project
President Obama was an exception, and gave Joe Biden a lot of actual power, and Joe led the nation's effort out of the Great Recession. Now we have 2 significant signs from Joe, that relate to Biden era
The CHOICE of Veep is first 'Presidential act' that ANY future POTUS makes
All this: have extraordinarily long life with
-Sentence of life plus 1,000 years (eligible for parole in 800)
-Cellmate Pence reading the Bible at him every damned day
-No internet & of course
-No Twitter
-Only 1 hr of TV daily: MSNBC tuned to Maddow #Pennsylvania
Trump end 2/4
(in prison)
Prison means no cheeseburgers or Diet Cokes
No orange makeup
No tanning
No long hair (That Thing that nests on his head will be gone)
By 2021 we'll have a Covid vaccination. so no early release for pandemic reasons
No Adderall
No Dexamethasone
No golf
Trump end 3/4
(in prison)
Prison means healthy food
Vegetables (I'd love to have them feed Goya beans to him every stinking day. The aroma in his prison cell would be epic)
Government provided free healthcare
Regular check-ups
No fake doctor notes
No telephone calls to Hannity
North Carolina closing time has been extended by 45 minutes in a few districts because they had problems opening up on time. That means that the RESULTS will be reported a bit later than expected, but counting will start normally. NC will count LONG because it is a battleground
It will not matter to us monitoring the race, because NC would not announce its results inside the first hour anyway. If we're REALLY lucky, they might do so before midnight. But it is a battleground state, could easily go into wee hours Wednesday...
THAT SAID...
North Carolina is one of my top choices to decide this election. IF NC is called for Biden, the election is won by Biden. Trump HAS to win NC to remain viable. And Joe has had a tiny lead almost consistently in NC, plus they have a hotly contested Senator race there
Youth is unreliable voter base. But youth goes 2:1 for Biden. ANY boost in youth vote improves our chances in ANY race in ANY state. The higher the total turnout is, the more that is driven by the unreliable youth vote showing up
If the TOTAL turnout is well above 150 million, most of that will be by youth, and roughly for every 3 votes cast, we net 1 more for Biden. That youth wave could boost Biden up by 1% even 2% over the 7% I expect we will get at the end of the day
ALL SIGNS say there is youth wave
Trump has been fearmongering as usual. He found lots of 'silent' voters who hadn't voted in long time (or ever) who voted for Trump in 2016. Their side HOPES they have found more. They may have some. MOST of those SHOULD have been measured by polling, but may have some 'hiding'