Tweet

More from @tomiahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen

8 Nov

The Heist of the Millenium

The Heist of all time

I expect Mnuchin to have STOLEN roughly a Trillion dollars. That is NOT typical Trumpian/Republican mismanagement or cronyism like tax cuts for billionaires or money laundering via Covid funding. I mean

STOLEN

Short thread...

You remember the most vile American ever to have lived? Manafort. He arranged the kleptocracies in countries on four continents. He was the go-to guy for Marcos, Mobutu Sese Seko & Yanukovich, etc - murderer dictator monsters FAR FAR more horrid (in their countries) than Trump

In each case, Manafort organized the LARGEST heist of public property & government funds into pockets of the dictators, that DECIMATED those countries - often for DECADES to come.

That was a 'young Manafort' before he got his hands onto the biggest piggy-bank ever: USA

Read 14 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen

8 Nov

Quick sanity check on the actual election result. Not the bullshit nonsense that was poisoning election coverage. The ACTUAL result

it was a WAVE election! Turnout is even higher than Obama 2008 wave, by percent of Americans who voted ! Around 60% !! A MONSTER election, and...

..and this was NOT A CLOSE ELECTION. It 'seemed' close, because of the bizarre vote-count this year, but experts (like me) WARNED you how the votes will be counted this time.

The ACTUAL result gives Joe Biden a victory of AT LEAST 6 million vote margin & AT LEAST 4% drubbing

No sitting President has ever been defeated by a LARGER national vote AGAINST the sitting President, than 51% of votes that Joe Biden got. Even Jimmy Carter was removed with only 50.7% for Ronald Reagan.

Trump was NEVER near US population support. His vote % will be under 47%

Read 7 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen

8 Nov

On President-Elect Joe Biden's era

That speech by Vice President-Elect Kamala Harris as a SPEECH was unusual. Presidential victory speeches do NOT feature the VP. They are delivered by the winning President-Elect

That Joe gave this platform to Kamala tells us how serious Joe is

Most Presidents do not give the Vice President much power. Donald Trump despises Mike Pence, did not even JOIN Pence on the night Trump announced Pence as his Veep, to dine with Pence. When Trump gave Pence the task to lead the Covid task force, Trump then hijacked that project

President Obama was an exception, and gave Joe Biden a lot of actual power, and Joe led the nation's effort out of the Great Recession. Now we have 2 significant signs from Joe, that relate to Biden era

The CHOICE of Veep is first 'Presidential act' that ANY future POTUS makes

Read 10 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen

6 Nov

I know you're eagerly waiting for MY numbers?

This is close to the final result. Total turnout will be around.. 160 million !! (record) (60% turnout)

Biden will pass 80 MILLION VOTES

Margin 51% to 47% (2% third party). 4% difference = 6M vote margin for Biden over Trump

The Electoral College MINIMUM for Biden is 306-217. that is almost exact mirror to Hillary's EC loss to Trump.

Best EC case still possible for Biden is 323 -200.

This wave helps us ALSO down-ballot. We have ALREADY won 2 Senate seats, may gain more. We MAY still take Senate

In the House races the SAME MATH applies. Yes we of course lost some House seats, that we KNEW would happen.

But we will ALSO pick up House seats, when all House races are called. EXACTLY like Trump states won, the close races now counted - we will win some

We won big in 2020

Read 4 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen

3 Nov

North Carolina closing time has been extended by 45 minutes in a few districts because they had problems opening up on time. That means that the RESULTS will be reported a bit later than expected, but counting will start normally. NC will count LONG because it is a battleground

It will not matter to us monitoring the race, because NC would not announce its results inside the first hour anyway. If we're REALLY lucky, they might do so before midnight. But it is a battleground state, could easily go into wee hours Wednesday...

THAT SAID...

North Carolina is one of my top choices to decide this election. IF NC is called for Biden, the election is won by Biden. Trump HAS to win NC to remain viable. And Joe has had a tiny lead almost consistently in NC, plus they have a hotly contested Senator race there

My two other

Read 6 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen

@tomiahonen

3 Nov

Where are the possible surprises tonight?

Youth is unreliable voter base. But youth goes 2:1 for Biden. ANY boost in youth vote improves our chances in ANY race in ANY state. The higher the total turnout is, the more that is driven by the unreliable youth vote showing up

If the TOTAL turnout is well above 150 million, most of that will be by youth, and roughly for every 3 votes cast, we net 1 more for Biden. That youth wave could boost Biden up by 1% even 2% over the 7% I expect we will get at the end of the day

ALL SIGNS say there is youth wave

Trump has been fearmongering as usual. He found lots of 'silent' voters who hadn't voted in long time (or ever) who voted for Trump in 2016. Their side HOPES they have found more. They may have some. MOST of those SHOULD have been measured by polling, but may have some 'hiding'

Read 9 tweets

Share this page!

Tomi T Ahonen

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

More from @tomiahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

Tomi T Ahonen

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Like this author's thread?