For those asking: if the Democrats win both Georgia runoffs, the Senate would be 50-50. Because VP Kamala Harris would be the tiebreaker on all matters, the Democrats would have the "majority." Schumer not McConnell would be Senate Majority Leader. It's pretty straightforward.
To be clear, Democrat Cal Cunningham hasn't officially lost in North Carolina yet, and Democrat-aligned Independent Al Gross in Alaska says he thinks he still has a shot at winning.

The above runoff math is based on Cunningham and Gross both losing.
This is in response to everyone flooding me with "what if it ends up 50-50" questions. That's always a straightforward matter of which party controls the White House.

I'm not saying winning both runoffs will be easy. But we have to try. It's for all the marbles.
This math also counts registered independent Senators Bernie Sanders and Angus King as Democrats, because they caucus as Democrats. For headcount purposes they are Democrats.
Some of you are asking why Schumer as majority leader and not some other Democrat. That would be up to Senate Democrats to decide once they're in there. For the sake of the current headcount scenario, it doesn't matter.
Look, this is all REALLY REALLY REALLY simple: if we win both runoffs and get to 50-50, we take majority control of the Senate. Period. Full stop. It's kindergarten level simple. Let's not waste the runoff period trying to confuse ourselves. Let's spend our time fighting to win.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Palmer Report

Palmer Report Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @PalmerReport

8 Nov
These dipshits at NBC are really going to make us wait for Saturday Night Live tonight until after the college football game ends, and then after local news airs? On this day of all days? At this historic moment? NBC, fuck you!
First NBC makes us wait all that extra time for the election results, and now they’re delaying SNL too? They’re not just ignorant, they’re stupid.
I’m a football fan. I understand this is the top team and the biggest star. But you still don’t do this, on this particular day. They could easily have bounced the game to MBCSN once it went into double overtime. Most Saturdays are about college football. Today isn’t.
Read 5 tweets
8 Nov
Andrew Yang is MOVING TO GEORGIA to help facilitate the Democratic Party effort in the Senate runoff races there. The least you can do is throw in five bucks or do some phone banking for Ossoff and Warnock.
Read 6 tweets
7 Nov
When the 2016 election cycle was first starting, I said that if Joe Biden ran, he'd be the nominee and he'd win – and that Biden's most likely running mate would be Kamala Harris. Based on all the evidence at the time, it felt like the most logical and likely outcome. And it was.
I'm not Nostradamus. I just look at evidence, as opposed to groupthink and hype. The numbers made clear from day one that Biden was the overwhelming frontrunner. And if you asked yourself who else in the primary field Biden would most logically end up picking, it was Kamala.
Even when Biden badly lost Iowa and New Hampshire, the numbers and evidence still made very clear that he would win South Carolina and Super Tuesday. His frontrunner status was never in doubt. Any hype to the contrary at the time was a misunderstanding of the evidence.
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
When major news outlets screw up and everyone gets pissed, they actually take it as point of pride. They think their unwillingness to fix it proves they’re not vulnerable to outside pressure.

It never even occurs to them that they might just be wrong.

Call the damn election.
The irony: the media IS responding to outside pressure. Going into this we demanded they not prematurely call it for Trump during the red mirage, and not let Trump call it for himself. Which they obliged. But now they’re afraid to call it for the actual winner.
It’s like training your dog not shit on the carpet, and the lesson your dog learns is that it shouldn’t ever take a shit again. And when you urge it to take a shit outside instead, it refuses to, and is proud of it.
Read 20 tweets
7 Nov
We've now reached the point where even the on-air personalities on CNN and MSNBC are starting to grumble out loud about the absurdity of their networks not calling the results. This is a farce.
It's been my observation that MSNBC and CNN are remarkably far removed from reality when it comes to what they think makes them look good. Even with their primary goal being ratings, they cost themselves ratings with a tone deaf approach.
For instance, CNN still thinks it can get higher ratings by having one Trump apologist on each panel, even though no Trump fan is going to watch CNN no matter what. MSNBC still thinks "both sides" narratives make it look balanced.
Read 11 tweets
6 Nov
I have zero interest in Trump's legal challenges. At these margins he has zero chance of litigating enough ballots to flip any states that would get him to 270. The litigation narrative is just cable news filler while we await more vote totals.
As I said before election day, Trump's only chance of litigating his way to victory would have been if the deciding state came down to a few hundred votes, like in the 2000 election. That's just not happening this time.
Even in the VERY VERY VERY unlikely scenario where Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona all come down to a few hundred votes, and he manages to flip them all in court, he still wouldn't be at 270. Next closest state for him would be Wisconsin, where he lost by 30,000 votes. Game over.
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!