I have zero interest in Trump's legal challenges. At these margins he has zero chance of litigating enough ballots to flip any states that would get him to 270. The litigation narrative is just cable news filler while we await more vote totals.
As I said before election day, Trump's only chance of litigating his way to victory would have been if the deciding state came down to a few hundred votes, like in the 2000 election. That's just not happening this time.
Even in the VERY VERY VERY unlikely scenario where Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona all come down to a few hundred votes, and he manages to flip them all in court, he still wouldn't be at 270. Next closest state for him would be Wisconsin, where he lost by 30,000 votes. Game over.
MSNBC and CNN spent a lot of time telling us about scary but highly unlikely (often literally impossible) scenarios, and presenting them as if they were realistically going to happen, to keep us tuned in during slower stretches. We have to learn to filter it out when we see it.
To be clear, Biden will win Pennsylvania by a much larger margin than he won Wisconsin.

Trump is focused on Pennsylvania because of how long it's taking and the original size of his lead there, but that's based on a naive misunderstanding of what he can and can't litigate.

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More from @PalmerReport

8 Nov
These dipshits at NBC are really going to make us wait for Saturday Night Live tonight until after the college football game ends, and then after local news airs? On this day of all days? At this historic moment? NBC, fuck you!
First NBC makes us wait all that extra time for the election results, and now they’re delaying SNL too? They’re not just ignorant, they’re stupid.
I’m a football fan. I understand this is the top team and the biggest star. But you still don’t do this, on this particular day. They could easily have bounced the game to MBCSN once it went into double overtime. Most Saturdays are about college football. Today isn’t.
Read 5 tweets
8 Nov
Andrew Yang is MOVING TO GEORGIA to help facilitate the Democratic Party effort in the Senate runoff races there. The least you can do is throw in five bucks or do some phone banking for Ossoff and Warnock.
Read 6 tweets
7 Nov
When the 2016 election cycle was first starting, I said that if Joe Biden ran, he'd be the nominee and he'd win – and that Biden's most likely running mate would be Kamala Harris. Based on all the evidence at the time, it felt like the most logical and likely outcome. And it was.
I'm not Nostradamus. I just look at evidence, as opposed to groupthink and hype. The numbers made clear from day one that Biden was the overwhelming frontrunner. And if you asked yourself who else in the primary field Biden would most logically end up picking, it was Kamala.
Even when Biden badly lost Iowa and New Hampshire, the numbers and evidence still made very clear that he would win South Carolina and Super Tuesday. His frontrunner status was never in doubt. Any hype to the contrary at the time was a misunderstanding of the evidence.
Read 4 tweets
7 Nov
When major news outlets screw up and everyone gets pissed, they actually take it as point of pride. They think their unwillingness to fix it proves they’re not vulnerable to outside pressure.

It never even occurs to them that they might just be wrong.

Call the damn election.
The irony: the media IS responding to outside pressure. Going into this we demanded they not prematurely call it for Trump during the red mirage, and not let Trump call it for himself. Which they obliged. But now they’re afraid to call it for the actual winner.
It’s like training your dog not shit on the carpet, and the lesson your dog learns is that it shouldn’t ever take a shit again. And when you urge it to take a shit outside instead, it refuses to, and is proud of it.
Read 20 tweets
7 Nov
We've now reached the point where even the on-air personalities on CNN and MSNBC are starting to grumble out loud about the absurdity of their networks not calling the results. This is a farce.
It's been my observation that MSNBC and CNN are remarkably far removed from reality when it comes to what they think makes them look good. Even with their primary goal being ratings, they cost themselves ratings with a tone deaf approach.
For instance, CNN still thinks it can get higher ratings by having one Trump apologist on each panel, even though no Trump fan is going to watch CNN no matter what. MSNBC still thinks "both sides" narratives make it look balanced.
Read 11 tweets
6 Nov
For those asking: if the Democrats win both Georgia runoffs, the Senate would be 50-50. Because VP Kamala Harris would be the tiebreaker on all matters, the Democrats would have the "majority." Schumer not McConnell would be Senate Majority Leader. It's pretty straightforward.
To be clear, Democrat Cal Cunningham hasn't officially lost in North Carolina yet, and Democrat-aligned Independent Al Gross in Alaska says he thinks he still has a shot at winning.

The above runoff math is based on Cunningham and Gross both losing.
This is in response to everyone flooding me with "what if it ends up 50-50" questions. That's always a straightforward matter of which party controls the White House.

I'm not saying winning both runoffs will be easy. But we have to try. It's for all the marbles.
Read 6 tweets

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