I'll ignore the first paragraphs and focus on Brexit paragraph
"I must stress that the U.K. does uphold the Good Friday Agreement in Northern Ireland."
But we passed a Bill through the House of Commons that doesn't.
Oh and don't think of an 🐘!
"As we leave the EU we have no plans to impose a hard border between the U.K. and [🇮🇪], contrary to false EU rumours."
Well you could have ended that one at "plans"
And we're building a truck park in Warrington to do customs controls... sounds like border infra 🤷♂️
And really, John, do us a favour. It is the UK leaving the EU, not the EU leaving the UK. And the UK leaving the Single Market. How you then think there can be no border controls is... interesting.
You may have said "EU rumours that we are not taking back control"
"It is the EU which seems to be planning new border controls on their side of the border which you may like to take up with them."
Errr, have you also not read the NI Protocol? Or do you expect people reading your letter have not?
"UK’s EU referendum gave us a larger percentage mandate for exit than your own convincing win"
Brexit was yes-no. There were actually candidates other than Biden and Trump.
Head to head, Biden got 51.48% (from Wikipedia, current at time of tweet). Brexit was 51.89%. 0.41% FTW!
"so you will understand the importance to us of becoming a truly independent country again on 1 January next year"
Yep. Britain is no longer a Member State of the European Union. I am pretty sure Biden knows that. 👏
"As such we can be of more assistance in world trade and foreign policy matters, and look forward to working with you where our views and policies align."
🤔 We were part of the largest trading bloc in the world. Now we're not. And that's more use?
We used to collaborate with 27 others on foreign policy (a couple of which still host massive US air bases) but now we don't
But *sure* we'll be more useful! Obvious!
But thank goodness.
"controlling our fish" didn't make it into the letter
Damn I am 🤮 of people arguing there ought to be no place for Starmer / Blair / Corbyn* in Labour, or no place for AOC / Sanders* for the Democrats, or that Biden is too pragmatic for the Democrats
YOU LIVE IN 2 PARTY SYSTEMS
* - delete according to your political prejudices
I don't live in a 2 party system
Were I in the UK, both Sigmar Gabriel and I would have to be in the Labour Party
But because Germany has a multi party system, my liberal left can pleasantly be in the Grüne, and Gabriel's authoritarian reactionary left in the SPD
Yes, my party might have to go into a coalition with the SPD. But I, as a party member, do not have to pass the time of day with someone like Gabriel
I have been thinking a lot about the Internal Market Bill and Brexiter reactions to Biden and the House of Lords vote, and have written a new blog post:
"The Internal Market Bill and Brexiters still unable to face the Brexit Trilemma"
The essence: I don't think there is a serious denial from the UK Govt that Internal Market Bill breaks international law - I hence disagree somewhat with this from @DavidHenigUK - it's not they think the US and EU are wrong, but that it does not matter
First, the House of Lords *tomorrow* needs to gut the Internal Market Bill of the offending clauses, and then the Government will have to not threaten to put the clauses back in during ping-pong.
Second, the outstanding issues in the negotiations - not least on fishing, Level Playing Field and especially on governance need to be hammered out.
The essential problem with much of the commentary on UK-US relations and Biden's win, especially with regard to Brexit, is a misunderstanding of perception / communication, versus reality
Let's start with the prospect of a US-UK trade deal, post-Brexit
There has NEVER been a realistic prospect of this deal happening
Why?
The Democrats have controlled the House since the end of 2018, and the House has to approve any Deal
The US would have pushed for agriculture and healthcare to be included in a Deal, the UK would have pushed for financial services. On the substance it would have become a nightmare
And that's before you even come to the implications of Brexit and trade on Ireland
The conventional wisdom* over the past few weeks has been that a Biden win makes a Brexit Deal more likely
But, to borrow a phrase from Will Davies, what is going on in UK politics just now is not normal
With Biden on the verge of the Presidency, a thread...
The conventional argument: Biden wins = multilateralism wins, it's a repudiation of go-it-alone belligerence in int. affairs, Biden will offer an 🕊 to Europe - and in that context Britain should not be left alone.
Tories also think Biden makes a 🇬🇧🇺🇸 trade deal less likely**
The other side, conventional wisdom: had Trump won, that would have kept the dream of a 🇬🇧🇺🇸 trade deal alive**, and mini-Trump Johnson would have had an ally in Washington for the next 4 years, so the UK's price to go it alone would be lower
This may be dangerous, but I am going to attempt a thread about the US election
Take this with a hefty pinch of salt, because I do not know much about US politics
But that's the point
Neither do you, probably
The difference between being a political analyst and a political polemicist is that the former should actually help contribute to our understanding, while the latter will use any opportunity or lever to defend their line or their side.
The problem is that analysis is hard.
"How could Trump perform so well, given so many Americans have died from COVID?"
People thought Trump was doing his best?
People doubted Biden would do better?
People believed in conspiracy theories about it?