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Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
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11 Nov, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Not to mention even if you support M4All, IT’S DEAD UNTIL AT LEAST 2024. Unless you think M4All supporters are going to pick up another 80 seats in the House AND flip all 30-odd GOP seats up in the Senate in the midterms, why the fuck are you picking this battle RIGHT NOW??
Biden will be VERY lucky to get us to ACA 1.5 before 2023, much less 2.0+a PO, and even THAT assumes we flip BOTH GA Senate seats AND the SCOTUS doesn’t strike the whole law down next spring.
Given the situation, killing the subsidy cliff, beefing up the subsidy formula, fixing the family glitch and something to entice more states into expanding Medicaid would be pretty fucking impressive in my view.
And to be clear, even those 4 things would still be a MASSIVE improvement over the current situation. That’s like 60% of the problems people have with the ACA right there.

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
12 Nov
Again: Giving him side-eye or the evil eye or whatever isn’t gonna change the fact that he’s gonna have tremendous power over the Dem Senate caucus even if they flip both GA seats.

That may suck, but that’s where we are.
In 2018, a progressive tried primarying Manchin. She got 30%.

In 2020, the same progressive was the nominee against Capito. She got 27%. ImageImage
#FunFact: Remember how the “Bernie woulda won” folks insisted that Bernie would have won West Virginia in 2016 because he won the primary there?

Hillary received 26.4%. This year, the Bernie-style progressive received...27%. Image
Read 7 tweets
Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
11 Nov
For all the "progressive v. moderate" bickering re. downballot, in the end, Democrats managed to get 12 million MORE people out there to vote for Biden than Hillary. We GOTV.

The REAL problem is Republicans *also* managed to get nearly 10 million more *Trump* voters out there.
For decades the assumption has been that of the ~40% of American non-voters, most of them were Democrats, so all we had to do is increase turnout as much as possible and voila.

The reality is more complicated--large chunks of them vote Dem...but large chunks also vote GOP.
Even if it's true, "just ramp up turnout" doesn't necessarily guarantee success.

Let's say there's ~100M who don't generally vote. Let's say that 60M are Dem ideologically.

If so, that means this year Dems turned out 20% of their chunk but the GOP turned out 25% of theirs.
Read 4 tweets
Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
11 Nov
📣 Oh, yeah: #ACA Open Enrollment is happening NOW! Here's 7 important things to remember. acasignups.net/20/11/11/oh-ye…
1. DON'T MISS THE DEADLINE! In most states you have until December 15th to #GetCovered, but 10 states have a later deadline:
CA: Jan. 31
CO: Jan. 15
DC: Jan. 31
MA: Jan. 23
MN: Dec. 22
NV: Jan. 15
NJ: Jan. 31
NY: Jan. 31
PA: Jan. 15
RI: Jan. 23
2. MAKE SURE YOU ENROLL IN AN ACA-COMPLIANT PLAN! Use the official ACA exchange or an *authorized* 3rd-party site *which only sells ACA-compliant plans*!

CA: coveredca.com
CO: connectforhealthco.com
CT: accesshealthct.com/AHCT/LandingPa…
DC: dchealthlink.com
Read 14 tweets
Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
11 Nov
...which is why the infighting between moderates and the far-left seems overstated. Aside from the “defund” wording hurting somewhat I’m not sure there’s as much “blame” to go around as many think.
The key to a big blue wave was to tie every GOP enabler to Trump. That...just didn’t happen, or at least it didn’t happen enough. Instead we got sort of a mixed bag. We gained 1-3 seats (tbd) in the Senate, lost perhaps 8-9 seats in the House (in red districts to begin with).
Here in Michigan we elected Biden, Gary Peters, flipped the state Supreme Court...but in the state legislature we gained two and lost two. Here in purple-trending-blue Oakland County, Dems won 5/6 county-wide races and 12/21 commission seats.
Read 4 tweets
Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
11 Nov
Sure, let’s take out three Democratic Senators and six Democratic House members when we might only have, at best, a bare majority in either chamber.
VT and MA both have GOP governors, and we remember what happened in the 2010 MA special election. Even in the House seats which are guaranteed to go blue, that’d still mean months with a vacancy which could mean a GOP majority in the meantime.
This is interesting, though: “John Podesta, the founder of the Center for American Progress who was an adviser to Mr. Obama on climate change.”

I thought CAP was HATED by the DSA types??
Read 4 tweets
Charles Ghoul-ba Profile picture
11 Nov
...which goes to show that using the PHRASE “defund” was terrible branding.
It’s not unreasonable for people to assume that “defund the police” means to take away ALL funding given that “defund” literally means to remove funding from something. You can argue that it doesn’t necessarily mean ALL funding, but that’s not an unreasonable interpretation.
This is similar to how polls show M4All having high approval ratings which drop significantly when you explain that “for all” wouldn’t be optional. Many people assume it means “for all who want it”.
Read 5 tweets

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