Theory. Let’s call it “Lone Urban Success Paradox” or LUSP:
“Cities with an extremely successful industry are more likely to be politically mismanaged.”

Why?
[1/
1. The best workers in the local workforce will gravitate towards this aspirational industry. Politics are uninteresting in comparison: much less career potential
2. The local government is flush with money by milking the world-class industry. It becomes profligate and wasteful.
3. Locals who work in the world-class industry don’t pay too much attention because their success and happiness is much more determined by career than local mgmt
4. The city attracts people from all over the world to work in that industry, despite poor urban services. No incentive to get better.
5. Because the industry has lots of transplants, who tend to not vote / not be able to vote, their voice will not be heard, and the city will not make efforts for them.
San Francisco is a great example of this. My guess is LA is too, and Detroit has already suffered from the consequences after the automobile industry disappeared. What other cities are like this? Oil cities? What else?
My guess is that it’s a bit like the resource curse for countries, but for cities.

Does this theory make sense?

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More from @tomaspueyo

9 Nov
Translations have started coming for our last article, The Swiss Cheese Strategy. Today, German, French and Spanish!

German here:
medium.com/contentist-de/…
Read 4 tweets
8 Nov
Latest article:
tomaspueyo.medium.com/coronavirus-th…

Now that Joe Biden is president & the EU has failed again, the West is open to learn how to dance.

Here's how they should do it.

[1/
One of the main issues in managing the #coronavirus is that there are so many things to do that govs don't know what they should or shouldn't do. It's simple.


[2/
There are 4 layers of defense against #COVID19
1. Keep infections out
2. When they do come in, prevent them from meeting others
3. When they do meet others, prevent them from infecting them
4. When that happens, identify and neutralize those infections

[3/
Read 15 tweets
7 Nov
Theory on the US urban–rural divide in voting for Dems vs GOP:

Urbanites interact with a lot of different strangers all the time. That means they want regulations to address the new coordination pbms that constantly emerge.

[1/
They also see +ppl different from them all the time, so they empathize with their plights, and are + interested in helping them.

These 2 facts mean they want + regulation & +care of minorities.

Hence +demand for regulation and social justice
[2/
Conversely, rural dwellers tend to interact with mostly the same social circles, usually of the same ethnic group, so they don’t experience other groups’ plights, and don’t empathize with them.
[3/
Read 8 tweets
7 Nov
Tertiary effect of the #coronavirus: International tax competition between countries

As remote work becomes the norm, ppl & businesses will relocate to cheaper places. Those w/ lower taxes will have an edge.
Countries / regions will want to attract these remote ppl & biz, and will lower taxes for them. Similar schemes already exist in Italy, Spain, Portugal, Puerto Rico...

But now with + remote & untethered, the incentive is stronger
The + taxes go down, the stronger the incentive to move, so the + ppl will, the bigger the price will be for regions lowering taxes, and the + taxes will go down.

Countries & regions will compete tooth & nail for them. Taxes will lower everywhere.
Read 8 tweets
6 Nov
In the end, Sweden also locked down.
[1/
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
This is the passage with the details of the measures.
[2/
I wrote a long article about Sweden's failed approach back in June, hoping this could be avoided. Unfortunately, people looked at the Summer recess in caseloads as a sign that the strategy had been successful.

They were wrong.
[3/
medium.com/@tomaspueyo/co…
Read 12 tweets
3 Nov
Originally, the article "The Hammer and the Dance" was called "The Lockdown and the Release".

In this email, I explained what I was thinking for the article to a few volunteers who wanted to help Image
Originally, H&D was originally the name of just one section in the article. I also played with other names, like "Leaders, Buy Us Time" or "The Trigger and the Release".
As I was still debating with the volunteers how to name the article, @shishirmehrotra suggested that it should definitely be H&D. I don't think the article would have stuck as much if I hadn't followed his advice. It shows the serendipity of these things.
Read 5 tweets

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