"The Caribbean doppelgänger of the Irish border"

This story about Anguilla & #Brexit is fascinating and underreported.

And relevant for 🇳🇱.

Why? Anguilla and its citizens rely HEAVILY on Sint Maarten and St Eustatius, both are Dutch municipalities

/1


mycountryeurope.com/politics/brexi…
Anguilla: pop. 14.000, is a British Overseas Territory

It gets 90% of its fuel (which it needs for energy and fresh water) from St Eustatius.

Main travel hub is Sint Maarten. It has the only airport for long-haul flights.

FR-administered Saint-Martin is the medical hub.

/2
Look, I drew a map!

/3
Now imagine what happens on Jan 1, 2021:

- transit-visas whenever an Anguillan wants to visit family in UK, or vice versa (because arriving from Sint Maarten)

- due to visas, EU tourists might now give Anguilla a pass

- can Anguillans still access medical care St Martin?

/4
In the event of No Deal, this obviously gets more difficult.

Will fuel prices spike in Anguilla?

And what about police & justice cooperation:

The 5km stretch of water between Caribbean UK and Caribbean EU (NL/ FR) will be very interesting for smugglers.

WTO tariffs etc

/5
And we know that St Maarten/ St Martin already has some "challenges" on the law enforcement front.

Here's Interpol:
interpol.int/en/Who-we-are/…

and there are links to the Italian mafia:

occrp.org/en/daily/5894-…
In other words, while everyone focuses on LPF, Fish, governance and the NI Protocol, spare a thought for #Brexit & the Caribbean...

...because I'm not sure the negotiators are.

p.s. big shout-out to @DavidHenigUK for bringing this to my attention.

/N
Oops, I forgot the trade dimension.

Cargo flights for Anguilla will transit through Sint Maarten.

Sint Maarten is also the main transshipment hub for water-based trade.

In event of No Deal: expect delays & possibly tariffs on goods destined for Anguilla.

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More from @remkorteweg

27 Sep
So, a little thread on the challenges we face in #Brexit Round 9 and Boris’ backfiring IM Bill.

Despite (or perhaps, because of) the collapse in trust due to the IM Bill, a deal between the EU and UK can still be done. But it will come at a cost. And BJ will have to pay it.

/1
EU has made it clear it wont freeze FTA talks in response to the IM Bill. ‘Parallelism’ does not apply regarding implementation of NI Protocol. But EU27 will consider legal action once their deadline expires later this week.

/2
But BJ may anticipate this, and "want" it.

Nothing says “I’m tough on Brussels” than being sued by EU lawyers.

/3
Read 22 tweets
25 Sep
Great thread on the Kent permit.

Now how does it work on the other side of the North Sea?

/1
The Port of Rotterdam (incl ferries at Hook of Holland and Vlaardingen) uses its @Portbase system as a “digital border”.

For export to UK, it’s mandatory to pre-notify all customs documents through this system. Before arriving at the Port.

portbase.com/en/services/no…

/2
Everything is digital. It’s all online. Of course.

For past 2 years (!!) Port, NL government, Customs, export agencies, logistics folks have been working with their counterparts across EU27 to ensure relevant haulers across EU27 know about the system.

/3
Read 10 tweets
21 Sep
The Netherlands is traditionally one of America's staunchest allies. Atlanticism runs deep.

But what does the Dutch population think of today's transatlantic relations, European strategic autonomy, and a 'Cold War' with China?

We took the Dutch pulse. (N = 23.000)

THREAD /1
The Dutch are pivoting to 'more Europe'.

72% of the Dutch population support deeper cooperation with France & Germany, in light of Brexit and Trump's America First policies.

/2
Interestingly, even among the Eurosceptics (those that support PVV, Forum, SGP), more people support deeper cooperation with Berlin & Paris, then do not.

/3
Read 12 tweets
2 Sep
Good resumé of Barnier's comments at a very good @iiea event.

Barnier also repeated that implementation of the WA is "only way to prevent hard border" in Ireland and "preserve integrity of SM."

/1
Barnier: "encouraging steps" have been taken by @michaelgove, but EU must be sure that EU customs codes is implemented "in its entirety" and that "all necessary controls on live animals and animal-derived products" arriving in NI from GB are in place

(NI-GB border, anyone?)

/2
And in case it was unclear, @MichelBarnier repeated a number of times:

"There will be no EU-UK deal if there is no agreement on fish and LPF/ State Aid."

/3
Read 4 tweets
1 Sep
If there is a mini-shuffle, if, then who could take the trade portfolio?

Given trade's importance (here, truly, the EU can wield its power), it has to be a Commissioner with a strong profile.

If not Dombrovskis (who has it now ad interim)...

/1
.@vestager would be fantastic. She's also had the competition file for 6 years. Time for a change? Renew would Rejoice.

or @TimmermansEU. Somewhat invisible on Green Deal. His knowledge of climate policy wd help push Commission ambition to connect climate & trade. Plus...

/2
Plus, Timmermans could help win over sceptical left-wingers in member-states who are increasingly critical of trade policy.
(#CETA anyone?)
Recall that Timmermans wd've had final say on #TTIP's ISDS-headache, if talks hadnt stopped.

/3
Read 4 tweets
26 Aug
Lots of buzz re Tony Abbott's role as post-Brexit UK trade advisor. (Be sure to read @DavidHenigUK's hot-take)

Aside from his earlier embrace of No Deal (he wrote a piece called "No Deal? No problem!") it's striking this role is given to a non-Brit

/1


theguardian.com/australia-news…
Why is this striking? After all, UK is open-minded Global Britain.

Well, I recall European EU (trade) experts being kept at arms-length from advising HMG after the #Brexit referendum.

For fear they might be double-agents advising the Other Side. Only Brits Allowed!

/2
Of course, European EU experts might have had some useful lessons to share about negotiating with the EU, which could've benefited HMG. But hey, that ship has sailed.

Apparently, an exception is made for Anglosphere Aussies.

/3
Read 7 tweets

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