Dollars, gold, #Bitcoin - which is the best for storing your hard earned money?
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All forms of money grow in total value as the global economy grows. What differs is how they do it.
The U.S. prints as many dollars as needed to achieve 2% inflation.
The only way to do this is to pull supply out to the right far enough that it deflates the purchasing power of all existing dollars by ~2%. (For your own good!)
Bitcoin takes a different approach. For the first time in history, there is a money whose total supply is fixed. In contrast to dollars and gold, there is only one direction by which Bitcoin can grow.
Which form of money is best for storing your savings in Year 0?
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As time goes on and Bitcoin's network effect grows, educational content gets better, UX/UI of onramps and services get simpler, it gets easier for people to "get it"
Just like with the Internet in the 90s, social media, mobile, etc.
Same chart, now not in log format
If we think about how equipped everyone in the world is to understand that Bitcoin is on a trajectory to become the world's preferred money / dominant SoV... we would have a bell curve distribution, shown here
However, as @johnkvallis pointed out to me, there are different levels of #Bitcoin adoption, and each level is at a different point in the adoption curve.
When we clearly segment these levels of Bitcoin adoption, it helps illuminate just how early it still is for Bitcoin.
For our purposes, let's segment Bitcoin adopters into four buckets:
1) Everyone is familiar with @100trillionUSD S2F model. Critics recoil because it seems to scale too rapidly. What they're forgetting is an intangible amplifying force that I wanted to ballpark quantify: the normal distribution of technology adopters.
2) Some very rough assumptions:
a. Bitcoin as preferred money / savings technology has total addressable market of anyone with $10k+ wealth (2.2B, source: statista.com/statistics/203…). Impoverished communities will also use BTC, but focused on TAM of those with wealth to store
2b. Current penetration is 10M. This is a rough estimate of how many people have $1,000+ stored in BTC, based on 3M addresses with >0.1BTC bitinfocharts.com/top-100-riches…, and accounting for balances on exchange/GBTC ownership/etc.