The Gainesville Sun is running a disparaging piece on me in tomorrow's print edition. This thread summarizes my response, or you can read the whole thing with links to references here 👇

1/13

alachuachronicle.com/legacy-media-o…
Nathan Crabbe, Opinions Editor at the Gainesville Sun, emailed me: “I’ve been following the coverage of your analysis of COVID-19 death certificates. I was planning to write my Sunday column about that and Gov. DeSantis’ other steps to raise questions about COVID reporting.”
2/13
Note that he wasn’t at all interested in my article about COVID-19 death certificates; he was interested in the COVERAGE of it. That “coverage” was mainly a hit piece in the Miami Herald

3/13

alachuachronicle.com/death-certific…
Crabbe says DeSantis “tries to act like science is on his side in the decisions he makes,” so I guess Crabbe hasn’t watched DeSantis’ roundtable with scientists from Harvard and Stanford, who all supported his policies

4/13

alachuachronicle.com/governor-desan…
Crabbe then moves on to my article about death certificates – but, of course, he doesn’t deal with the content of the article. He says we “mysteriously” reviewed the death certificates; what he means is that I won’t reveal my source.

gainesville.com/story/opinion/…

5/13
Crabbe goes on to disparage my degrees in electrical engineering and Len’s degrees in economics (from institutions like Princeton, Berkeley, the Air Force Academy, UF, and Stanford) as proof that we can’t be trusted to report on government policy changes...

6/13
that led to counting COVID deaths that even the WHO says shouldn’t be counted. Apparently you can’t say that without an approved degree.

7/13
In my opinion, one of the biggest mistakes the United States has made regarding COVID-19 was anointing one virologist (Dr. Anthony Fauci) as the “expert” and ignoring all opposing views.

8/13
We’ve had no public debates, and Fauci has never had to explain why his policies directly contradict the CDC’s own previously-existing pandemic plan.

9/13

cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/6…
So instead of allowing debate between scientists who would be forced to defend their views, politicians and the media have decided that there is “consensus,” and anyone who disagrees must be destroyed.

10/13
They are completely uninterested in whether my information about death certificates is correct; they have a narrative to push: that you should be so terrified of getting COVID that you will comply with any restriction they care to place on your life or business.

11/13
It is clear that Florida's legacy media outlets are terrified that @GovRonDeSantis will remove restrictions on businesses, effectively freeing Florida from the tyranny of COVID emergency orders

12/13
It’s time for both sides to present their evidence for the people. Since that is unlikely, it's imperative that Florida continues to stand as the counter-example to states like NY, NJ, and Illinois, which have all just announced new restrictions as cases increase.

13/13

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

15 Nov
I don't expect Florida's COVID deaths to trend toward zero any time soon; we will probably see at least 40-50/day (similar to a normal FL flu season).

When every person in LTC is tested every 2 weeks, the probability of getting a false positive increases with time.

1/4
As the months go on and the number of tests increases, that probability gets VERY high, and it only takes one positive.

It's clear from reviewing death certificates that any previous positive test goes on the cert, and those are counted as COVID deaths.

2/4
Examples from Florida:

- 57M, PART 1: a. Coronary artery disease, PART 2: asymptomatic COVID-19 positive swab

- 92F, PART 1: a. Sequelae of femoral neck fracture b. Blunt impact to extremity, PART 2: Asymptomatic COVID-19 infection, hypertensive heart disease

3/4
Read 4 tweets
15 Nov
Florida Deaths - 11/15/20

Florida reported a net of 29 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 22 different days, going back to August 15.

Changes by month: August (-1), September (-1), October (+17-1), November (+15)

#RationalGround

1/8 Image
The "net" is the difference between today's total deaths and yesterday's total deaths, but each day's total is also the sum of additions and removals on that date.

For example, if 2 new deaths are reported on a date, that could be because 3 were added and 1 was removed

2/8
Peaks are 7/30 (235) & 8/4 (237); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).

The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here's the full chart for context:

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
14 Nov
Florida Deaths - 11/14/20

Florida reported a net of 44 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 27 different days, going back to July 25.

Changes by month: July (+1-1), August (+1-1), October (+14), November (+32-2)

#RationalGround

1/7
The "net" is the difference between today's total deaths and yesterday's total deaths, but each day's total is also the sum of additions and removals on that date.

For example, if 2 new deaths are reported on a date, that could be because 3 were added and 1 was removed

2/7
Peaks are 7/30 (235) & 8/4 (237); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).

The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here's the full chart for context:

3/7
Read 7 tweets
13 Nov
Florida Deaths - 11/13/20

Florida reported 73 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 24 different days, going back to October 15.

Changes by month: October (+26), November (+47)

#RationalGround

1/7
Peaks are 7/30 (235) & 8/4 (237); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).

The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here's the full chart for context:

2/7
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 35
Maximum age: 98
88% are 65 or older

3/7
Read 7 tweets
12 Nov
Florida Deaths - 11/12/20

Florida reported a net of 72 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 25 different days, going back to October 12.

Changes by month: October (+43), November (+29)

#RationalGround

1/6 Image
Peaks are 7/30 (235) & 8/4 (237); the 7-day moving average peak is 8/5 (225).

The plateau at the peak between 7/25 and 8/7 has been stable since August 27.

Here's the full chart for context:

2/6 Image
Yesterday's deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 78
Minimum age: 28
Maximum age: 105
87% are 65 or older

3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
11 Nov
Big Media is going after me and Kyle Lamb, presumably to push a false narrative that any further reopenings in Florida are based on twisting or suppressing data.

1/4
Florida's COVID data reporting is probably the best in the country, which is why we know that nothing catastrophic happened after reopening 6.5 weeks ago.

2/4
Hospitalizations for respiratory viruses are ticking up everywhere, as they do in flu season every year. This year there's no flu, just COVID.

The same thing is happening in states that are locked down with mask mandates.

Masks have not prevented these increases anywhere.

3/4
Read 4 tweets

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