1) Ouebec reported 28 more #COVID19 outbreaks in schools on Saturday, by far the highest single-day increase of any setting in the province. Clearly, the existing public-health protections in schools are failing. In this thread, I will show how schools are posing a growing risk.
2) Just a little over a week ago, on Nov. 5, #COVID19 clusters in schools represented 26.6% of all active outbreaks in Quebec. By Saturday, that percentage climbed to 29. During the same period, the workplace's share of all outbreaks in the province declined from 49.6% to 48.5%.
3) In fact, the province reported a drop of 15 #COVID19 active outbreaks in the workplace Saturday, for a total of 744. By comparison, the number of outbreaks in schools rose by 28 to 445. The only other setting to note an increase was health-care institutions: up by five to 205.
4) This trend in schools is pronounced, swift and was foreseen, as it was first observed in Montreal weeks ago. Although most schoolchildren infected with the #coronavirus don't develop severe symptoms, ample research shows they can transmit it to parents, siblings and relatives.
5) Quebec is considering extending the holiday break in schools next month. Would the government have to consider this option had it heeded the advice of apolitical experts last summer to install air purifiers in poorly ventilated classrooms before the start of the academic year?
6) Meanwhile, at the other end of the age spectrum, #COVID19’s impact is increasingly lethal in the province’s long-term care homes and seniors’ residences. The number of Quebecers who’ve died from the #pandemic illness in these facilities in the second wave has risen to 371.
7) There are currently 23 #COVID19 outbreaks in eldercare centres deemed critical. In the worst instance, 33 people have died at the CHSLD Ste Croix in Marieville. Another 26 are infected at that CHSLD. I’ve asked this question before: why is this happening in the second wave?
8) Outbreaks are also occurring in long-term care centres in Montreal, but to a much lesser extent, demonstrating that authorities in the city have learned lessons from the first wave. On Saturday, the city posted 341 new #COVID19 cases, as the chart below indicates.
9) At the neighborhood level, the ever-shifting #coronavirus made its presence known the most in the east-end health district of Rivières-des-Prairies, Anjou and Montreal East, with 43 #COVID19 cases identified on Saturday. But there were also plenty of cases on the West Island.
10) Finally, Montreal added two more #COVID19 fatalities to a death toll that has reached 3,566. In contrast, the city of Tokyo (population, 9.3 million) has declared a death toll of 464 since the start of the #pandemic. End of thread. Please stay safe, everyone.

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More from @Aaron_Derfel

15 Nov
1) Outbreaks were increasing in all sectors across Quebec on Sunday, including in health-care institutions, daycares, schools and the workplace, suggesting the second wave is entering a potentially dangerous new phase. In this thread, I will assess what this could mean.
2) Quebec added four #COVID19 hospitalizations Sunday to a cumulative total of 587, the highest so far in the second wave. Intensive-care unit stays were up by seven to 89. The latter is not a record, as Quebec reported 101 ICU stays on Oct. 22, but the trend is still worrisome.
3) #COVID19 clusters rose by six to 211 Sunday in health-care institutions that include long-term care. Outbreaks inched up by two to 82 in daycares. The workplace declared a total of 753 active outbreaks, up by nine since Saturday. Outbreaks rose by four to 449 in schools.
Read 9 tweets
14 Nov
1) Quebec set more grim records in the #pandemic Friday, all of them in the educational sector. The most notable one is 1,241 classes shuttered due to #COVID19 exposure, up by 27 from the day before. In this thread, I will take stock of the growing contagion in schools.
2) Another record: a total of 3,193 students and staff have tested positive for the #coronavirus, up by 159 since Thursday. That increase represents the second biggest daily spike recorded during the second wave. A third record: 950 schools now have at least one #COVID19 case.
3) A fourth record: the province reported 417 #COVID19 clusters in schools, up by two since Thursday and 43 since a week ago. Nearly half of all of Quebec’s schools have confirmed cases since the start of the academic year, according to covidecolesquebec.org.
Read 10 tweets
13 Nov
1) Premier François Legault tacitly acknowledged Thursday that schools are driving community transmission of the #coronavirus when he warned he might close them for longer than the holiday break next month. In this thread, I will explain why more needs to be done.
2) The Premier noted that 324 classrooms have been shuttered due to #coronavirus exposure in the past two days. In fact, the situation is more worrisome. In the past seven days, the total number of active #COVID19 cases in schools has jumped by 579. Image
3) Since Wednesday, covidecolesquebec.org has reported 16 more schools with at least one #COVID19 infection. Quebec is now grappling with no fewer than 415 outbreaks in schools across the province. It’s not just classes being shut; entire schools have closed temporarily.
Read 10 tweets
11 Nov
1) The #pandemic appeared to take another turn for the worse Wednesday in Quebec, with #COVID19 outbreaks rising sharply in all sectors and hospitalizations increasing, too. In this thread, I will call upon the government to consider drastic action to curb this latest resurgence.
2) Since Tuesday, provincial authorities have reported 81 more active #COVID19 clusters. The biggest one-day increase is in the workplace (54), followed by spikes in schools (11), daycares (10) and health-care institutions (7). Outbreaks linked to events dipped by one to 41. Image
3) The number of confirmed #COVID19 infections is rising noticeably in the following regions: Saguenay—Lac-Saint-Jean, the Eastern Townships (where cases doubled to 90 since Tuesday), Outaouais, Gaspésie, Lanaudière, the Laurentians and Montreal.
Read 12 tweets
11 Nov
1) Quebec has now reached an unusual point in the pandemic — with spikes in #COVID19 cases being observed at opposite ends of the age spectrum, among schoolchildren and the elderly. In this thread, I will compare and contrast these two groups.
2) Let’s start with schoolchildren. Quebec reported a total of 404 #COVID19 outbreaks in schools on Tuesday, up by 21 from Monday. This represents the biggest increase by far in any setting. In fact, the number of outbreaks in the workplace dropped by 13 since Monday.
3) In its latest report, the Education Ministry identified 147 more active #COVID19 cases among students and staff in schools across Quebec, setting another record tally, 2,807. What’s more, the number of shuttered classes jumped by 187 to 1,037. See the chart below.
Read 10 tweets
10 Nov
1) In just the past four days, the number of #COVID19 outbreaks in Quebec schools and daycares has climbed by 15 across the province, reinforcing the importance of improving ventilation in these facilities. In this thread, I will return to the subject of portable air filtration.
2) Since last Thursday, the number of outbreaks in Quebec workplaces declined from 697 to 683. However, #COVID19 clusters rose to 383 from 374 in schools, underscoring how the #coronavirus in this milieu is driving community transmission. Outbreaks in daycares rose by six to 78.
3) In its latest report, the Quebec Education Ministry added 153 more #COVID19 cases in a single day to a record tally of 2,660, according to the chart below. What’s more, 27 more schools across the province were identified as having at least one case for a total of 900. Image
Read 10 tweets

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