But if it has, let me tell you this: what's about to happen just might defy belief
Bull markets are full-body experiences....
More 👇
During the last crazy run-ups (2013 + 2017), I checked my phone like a gd slave. In December 2017, it was weeks of my positions going up double-digits every 24 hours. I'd check my phone before I walked into the store to buy some bologna....
2/x
By the time I walked out I'd have some good ass bolgna + be $10k richer. I'd watch an episode of Silicon Valley... check my phone... $10k richer
I'd log into Binance like a kid running around at the arcade with a bucket full of quarters. Just throwing money at stupid shit
3/x
It doesn't really matter in a true bubble. It's hard to lose
What's really hard, though, is checking out. It's selling a position you've spent all your spare $$$ building up. Some of my winners I'd been holding for 4 years. I felt sick selling them
But I had to.
4/x
The only way anyone can do that is if they've got a plan...
I hear people coming up with all sorts of plans to "call the top" of the next bull like they're savant ass autists who know every chart pattern in human history
5/x
But who really gives a shit about the "top" if you know exactly how much you need to retire and you get there well before the "top"? You just hit that number and you exit the game with a grin
Leave 25% in the market if you've got to... 50%, whatever....
6/x
But you'd better have a number for when you're going to pull out your rake and spoon some mad cash into your bank account
If you don't, you're f'd. Let's say you hit your #, and you don't even realize you hit it until after the market tanks and you're stuck...
7/x
... working your shitty ass job for the next 10 years. You sure as hell ain't going to feel like a winner then
So I say redirect some of your shitcoin "research" time into making a spreadsheet and figuring out exactly how much $$$ you need to retire
8/x
Draw up your expenses... calculate how much you'll have leftover after you pay taxes on some huge ass crypto gains. Then, assume about 5-7% a year in income thanks to some "safe" dividend stocks, maybe an annuity and some cefi stablecoin income...
9/x
then you'll know how much you really need to exit the rat race.
If you don't take the time to do that, why tf are you "investing", anyway?
Just a friendly PSA from your 🤡 fren
10/x
Ignore it if you want... then you can just be the price floor for the rest of us sellers
Just kidding (I think)
I love you, CT
+ I bestow upon you a beautiful red 🎈 on this beautiful boolish day
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The vast majority of people think they can beat the crypto markets even though they're something like a full-time dentist and they play squash twice a week and they have two kids and a wife and they get about 30 minutes a day to study crypto
More 👇
2/
But sure, they've read @benmezrich's Bitcoin Billionaries. They listen to @APompliano's podcast. They understand blockchain
That means they can compete with the OG 🐳s who've owned $BTC since Gox died + still spend 12 hrs a day reading, learning + experimenting in crypto
3/
It's especially laughable when that sort of person thinks they can short-term trade. Like the right entry and exit points are always between 9 p.m. and 10 p.m. on Thursdays when they actually have a minute to look at the markets lol
Why, ser, are you so bullish on decentralized derivatives?
Well, for one, I'm an American. I can buy assault rifles + shoot myself up with heroin, but JFC, the boot will be on my neck if I say I'd like to trade some crypto derivatives
DeFi does not ask to see "my papers"
2/
For two, I think most investors are underexposed to decentralized derivatives (with the possible exception of $SNX). That coupled with the fact that they're finally getting useful AF is why they currently make up about 50% of my crypto portfolio
3/
One helpful way to allocate your portfolio is to consider the size of tradfi markets. For bitcoin, you can do something like this:
Store of value in the real world (gold): $7.5 trillion
Store of value in digital world ($BTC): $300 billion
There is nothing better than a creative genius holing up to make his art
+ one day, there will be a few of us who recognize that THIS is the moment... Andre's past (years reviewing crypto code), his philosophical beliefs + humanity's strange arc through history...
2/x
... all came together to unleash a Renaissance-like, technological revolution upon us
Andre (and others like him) are aflame with ideas. They are Mozarts in their last four years... a period so drenched with creativity that it...
3/x