Nick C. Profile picture
17 Nov, 10 tweets, 4 min read
Since UNI rewards ended yesterday, Uniswap's TVL has dropped by 40% to $1.9 billion. The bleeding shows no signs of abating yet.

Let's take a quick look at a few large liquidity providers (at random) and what they are doing with their freed-up capital. 👇
0xe0e withdrew $1.7m worth of liquidity from Uniswap's ETH-DAI pair.

They deposited all of that capital immediately into cAssets, cDAI and cETH.
0x975 withdrew $2.8m worth of liq from ETH-DAI.

They deposited all that capital back into Binance without converting the ETH into DAI or vice-versa.

They made this addy with the sole purpose of farming UNI, meaning they're probs looking to re-allocate to DeFi or BTC (UOA).
0x7bb withdrew $5.5m in liq from DAI-ETH.

They converted the DAI into USDC, kept the ETH, and distributed the USDC amongst into a number of wallets. Most of the USDC was sent to FTX, though some was deposited into Yearn's cDAI/cUSDC vault.
0xf92 withdrew $3.3m from ETH-DAI.

The liquidity was quickly zapped into ETH-DAI LP tokens on SushiSwap, then staked for SUSHI.
0x161 withdrew $400,000 from ETH-DAI.

The ETH was deposited into Compound's cETH money market and the DAI was converted into DeFireX DAI (dDAI) in another address.
0x4f7 took the $1.7m they had in ETH-DAI and the $11.5m they had in ETH-WBTC and deposited that into SushiSwap.

Vampire attack 2.0 playing out in real time.
It appears that most are sitting on their stables and ETH for now.

We're probably going to see some interesting movements in DeFi yields and lending protocol TVLs.

Most importantly, we could see movements in coins down the risk curve over the next days.

I also expect SushiSwap to absorb lots of TVL.

We're seeing a strategic provision of SUSHI rewards to the four Uniswap pools where rewards were just pulled.

@Wangarian1 did an amazing comprehensive analysis of the SUSHI bull case in this thread:

Sorry for like the third thread in six hours.

There's just a ton going on in DeFi... as normal.

Will do a follow-up thread with a more granular analysis in a few days.

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More from @n2ckchong

18 Nov
What's beautiful (and kind of scary) about DeFi is that we can see everything that happens on-chain and connect addresses to identities and firms.

Here's a breakdown of the known Ethereum addresses of Three Arrows Capital, Polychain Capital, and Jump Trading.

👇 Image
Three Arrows Capital (1/2):

One of the biggest Compound suppliers, with $100m in WBTC, $50m in ETH, and $6m in DAI.

3AC is also supplying 275 YFI and $13m in LINK to Aave and is farming SUSHI with 1.5m *recently-acquired* SUSHI.

3AC acquired 351k LINK during recent dip. Image
3AC (2/2):

With the collateral, 3AC is withdrawing stables and sending them to FTX. We've seen millions upon millions sent to an FTX address.

It is unclear what happens to the funds once they're there but 3AC is often on the profit + volume leaderboards on FTX.
Read 10 tweets
17 Nov
Another one bites the dust: Origin Dollar (OUSD) exploited for $2.25m in DAI and $1m in Ethereum.

Flash loan attacker/exploiter is already washing the funds via RenBTC.
This is the fifth flash loan attack of the past three weeks alone.

Harvest, Akropolis, Value, and CheeseBank were all hit for millions in stables.
I believe he stole even more ETH than I first thought. Trying to figure it out.
Read 12 tweets
15 Nov
~$1 billion of $ETH is likely to be deployed into DeFi and the market in the coming days as Unsiwap's first UNI yield farming scheme comes to an end.

Let's look over a few places where you could put that Ethereum to work and their risks.👇

1/ ETH 2.0

If the bare minimum ETH gets staked in the Beacon Chain, validators will get paid 22% APR.

Risks:

- ETH2 will b untradable
- Slashing if you don't run your validator properly
- Extreme opportunity cost; can't bring ETH back from Beacon Chain
2/ Alpha Homora Pools

Alpha Homora allows ETH holders to easily farm yield farming pools (SushiSwap, Uniswap, Index, Mstable, etc.) and LP on AMMs with leverage.

Yields are quite high (15-100%+) due to IL.

Risks:
- Impermanent loss. IL risk is magnified if you take on leverage
Read 13 tweets
27 Oct
Bitcoin is resilient around $13k, Ethereum hit $420, and DeFi TVL is at an ATH at $12 billion.

As DeFi continues to grow, decentralized exchanges will remain pivotal.

Here’s a thread on the outlook of the AMM market (Uniswap, Balancer, Sushiswap, LinkSwap, DODO).
Before we get into it, a brief explainer of automated market makers.

AMMs are a type of decentralized exchange where users pool liquidity, then trade with the coins in the pool. AMMs price liquidity with a formula (often x * y = k), algorithmically matching purchases and sales.
AMMs are starting to overtake centralized exchanges.

Uniswap alone did more volume than Coinbase in September. AMM liquidity pools can sometimes be deeper than centralized exchanges, sans trading fees (see image #1).

AMM also enable-chain arbitrage, a massive market.
Read 16 tweets
19 Oct
There's been a bunch of buzz about @barn_bridge over recent days. The project's stablecoin seed pool has $180m just 24 hours after its launch. This makes it one of the biggest Ethereum yield farms ever.

But what exactly is BarnBridge?

An ELI5 Thread - 👇
DeFi is currently disjointed and risky compared to TradFi.

Yields differ wildly (see below), there are no fixed yield products, there is no yield curve, crypto is high vol, etc.

Those are issues that "degens" can disregard. But big money, maybe not so much.
There's no doubt that capital is entering DeFi at a rapid clip. DeFi Pulse is reporting that TVL has reached $11 billion — a 1,000% gain in just over six months.

But the aforementioned inefficiencies are preventing the next wave of capital.

Enter BarnBridge.
Read 15 tweets
18 Oct
Whoever is farming @barn_bridge / (starting in 24 hrs), I made a spreadsheet with the annualized yields of the stablecoin pool. USDC, DAI, and sUSD accepted.

Not an endorsement - seems to be one of the better, relatively safe stablecoin yield farms, though. Image
Here's a matrix for the yields on the / Uniswap LP pool, starting in eight days.

Yields are much higher as I assume TVL will be much lower due to potential impermanent loss risks. Image
Pool #1 (stablecoins) will be open for 25 weeks, with 32,000 BOND released a week.

Pool #2 (BOND/USDC LP) will be open for 100 weeks, with 20,000 BOND released a week.

In total, 2,800,000 tokens—28% of the total supply—will be distributed through these pools.

More data below: ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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