Thread by @Hail__To_You

As we of the Anti-Panic side told you would happen, deaths in Sweden were below normal for months following the late March to late May flu wave.

The period of sustained below-normal mortality beings July 10 and continues to at least the end of October.

#SwedenWasRight

Sweden total deaths

For the full month of August
2020 6781
2019 6829
2018 6791
2017 6824
2016 7005
2015 6712
'15-'19 avg. 6832

Sweden total deaths

For full month of September
2020 6580
2019 6674
2018 6803
2017 6762
2016 6728
2015 6916
'15-'19 avg. 6777

Sweden total deaths

For full month of October
2020 6975
2019 7338
2018 7276
2017 7415
2016 7357
2015 7147
'15-'19 avg. 7307

A certain % of people alive on Jan 1 of any year are expected to die by Dec 31 of that year. In years of heightened flu activity when a flu wave occurs over a few week period, many of the expected deaths will "bunch up" during the flu wave, followed by below-normal mortality...

...Data loves to hug its baseline, a concept never conveyed in the Pro-Panic side's crazed "Fear The Virus and Only the Virus/; drumbeating. Deaths of those closest to death bunching up during a flu wave, and then fading below normal, tends to even things out.

The full-year 2020 all-cause death total for Sweden **as a % of the total population alive Jan. 1** will be about +0.04% over late-2010s trendline expected level.

Deaths "supposed" to be:
0.885%

But will be
0.925%.

This is in line with earlier bad flu waves.

#SwedenWasRight

Statistically all of this +0.04% deaths in Sweden in 2020 are elderly people (90% age 70+). Statistically no children have died (influenza or other flu viruses are more dangerous to children than Wuhan-Corona).

The impact of more working-age people dying rounds to +0.00%.