Can you estimate the answer? Image
Most people get it wrong.

See how you get on, here:

tweetorials.inspirion.org/h2/64ab4b36e2e…
3 out of 3 correct here! Image
However, don't be put off if you think their mental arithmetic too formidable.

In the tweetorial, the answer is shown above the question, for you to simply read off the graph.

See you there!

tweetorials.inspirion.org/h2/64ab4b36e2e…

• • •

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More from @ProfDFrancis

25 Nov
Here is the article!

It is absolutely hilarious! There are several giveaways that this is not really a doctor. Which can you spot?
Thank you to various people who sent me details of circumventing the Telegraph's paywall. I generally avoid doing that, for articles where the _authors_ would want me to pay to read (as it is their living).

I subscribe to publications to support them.
SCIENTIFIC papers are written by people who would be absolutely delighted to give you copies of all their work for free. They have zero interest in anyone charging you to read their work

So I am happy to let them communicate with me via sci-hub.se or any other means
Read 16 tweets
16 Nov
A stout defender of Mineral Oil!

Here are my thoughts though...
The FDA does not allow or disallow particular things to be used as a placebo. They use their common sense.

My common sense says "Mineral oil is inert, because (a) it is mineral rather than animal or vegetable, and (b) we use Paraffin as a laxative, because it is inert."
Unfortunately my common sense is wrong.

That's life.

To their credit, the REDUCE-IT people and the EVAPORATE people did not *assume* it was inert. They tested that hypothesis.

REDUCE-IT result of that careful test: Image
Read 13 tweets
15 Nov
Elisabeth Bik is a VERY hard woman. I thought she was outing these for "A" and "C" not being differently treated rats, different _slides_, but actually the same slide flipped upside down.

I thought B was actually different.

But then...
.... I saw this too
Remember, do not mock basic science papers for having this level of fakery.
Read 7 tweets
15 Nov
Well, I would like to complain about "STATINS".

If you told me you were prescribing me a "STATIN", I would refuse to take it.
Atorvastatin
Simvastatin
Rosuvastatin
Pravastatin
etc.

they are

VASTATINs, not STATINs.
Would you take this statin?
Read 8 tweets
1 Nov
Are these the outfit whose big-deal Covid model was "Oh, it goes up, then it comes down, so let's just say it is a Normal Distribution!"

If so, I am not surprised at anything they do!

It would be like asking why a puppy is chasing its tail.

Just watch, and enjoy the fun!
As for how effective masks are, I guess they just make up some sort of reduction factor, and model what that does to the spread.

Not terribly exciting. That factor is very uncertain, and it doesn't take a genius to realise that a really small reduction will not contribute much.
Read 6 tweets
1 Nov
Josh isn't the first person to think of this, merely the last.
Why don't we have such studies?
Who does studies like that? RCTs?
Read 60 tweets

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