As another week of lockdown passes, we've seen the drop off in cases we'd expect to see, as the number of new coronavirus cases confirmed across Devon and Cornwall have nearly halved in the previous seven days – with cases falling everywhere.
A total of 1,266 new cases have been confirmed across the two counties – the lowest since the week ending October 16 – and Friday’s figure of 97 cases is the first ‘double figure’ total since October 2. Cornwall, Plymouth, the South Hams and Torbay see a more than 50% drop.
Friday's figures of 97 are made up of 11 cases in Cornwall, 26 in East Devon, 11 in Exeter, 4 in Mid Devon, 16 in North Devon, 11 in Plymouth, 1 in Teignbridge, 10 in Torbay, 4 in Torridge, 4 in West Devon, and -1 for the South Hams, with no new cases, but one duplicate removed
Government statistics show that 1,266 new cases have been confirmed across the region in the past seven days in both pillar 1 data from tests carried out by the NHS and pillar 2 data from commercial partners, compared to 2,367 new cases confirmed last week.
Of the 1,266 new cases confirmed since November 20, 232 were in Cornwall, with 180 in East Devon, 141 in Exeter, 59 in Mid Devon, 104 in North Devon, 231 in Plymouth, 33 in South Hams, 73 in Teignbridge, 119 in Torbay, 51 in Torridge and 43 in West Devon.
This compares to the 2,367 cases confirmed between Nov 14 and 20 of which, 478 were in Cornwall, 244 in East Devon, 220 in Exeter, 79 in Mid Devon, 170 in North Devon, 597 in Plymouth, 89 in the South Hams, 108 in Teignbridge, 263 in Torbay, 66 in Torridge and 53 in West Devon.
Of the 1,266 new cases, 970 had a specimen date between November 20 and 26, with 171 in Cornwall, 152 in East Devon, 101 in Exeter, 40 in Mid Devon, 84 in North Devon, 179 in Plymouth, 25 in South Hams, 62 in Teignbridge, 86 in Torbay, 42 in Torridge and 28 in West Devon.
Charts for East Devon, Exeter, Mid Devon and North Devon 
And for South Hams, Teignbridge, Torridge and West Devon
And for Cornwall, Plymouth, Torbay, and the Devon County Council area
By specimen date, only Torridge isn’t seeing a fall in cases, although it’s total number of cases are one of the lowest in the region, and although East Devon and Teignbridge had seen a ‘one day spike’ in their rolling averages, they are now falling again as well.
The number of people in hospital in the South West has fallen in the last seven days, now at 938 from 942 last Friday, although there are currently 67 patients in mechanical ventilation beds, up from 65 as of last Friday.
The number of patients in hospital across Devon and Cornwall following a positive Covid-19 test has risen since last week – but only just - and the by Trust figures refer to Tuesday, rather than Friday for the overall South West hospital numbers
While the number of patients in the Royal Devon and Exeter, North Devon and Cornish hospitals has increased, Torbay Hospital has seen a decrease for the second week running, while Derriford Hospital has seen its number drop by more than 40 per cent.
The figures show there were 128 patients in the Royal Devon and Exeter (up from 106), 53 in Derriford Hospital in Plymouth (down from 90), 35 in Torbay Hospital (down from 39), 29 in North Devon District Hospital (up from 18), nine at the Royal Cornwall Hospital (up from six),
six in Cornish Partnership Trust hospitals (up from 4), while 11 beds at Livewell SouthWest facilities in Plymouth (up from 2) and one bed at Devon Partnership Trust facilities (up from 0) were also occupied.
There were 16 patients in Mechanical Ventilation beds, down from 19, with one patient in Torbay Hospital, five at the RD&E and North Devon District Hospital, and ten at Derriford Hospital, with none in Cornwall.
In the last week, there 21 deaths within hospitals in Devon and Cornwall within 28 days of a positive Covid-19 death, with nine in Exeter, two in Torbay, six in Plymouth, three in North Devon, and one in Cornwall.
And while NHS 111 data for Cornwall is slightly up on last week, Devon is down 25 per cent and at the lowest level since August 22, and the R-Rate for the South West fallen to 0.9-1.1 from 1.0-1.3.
In terms of the latest MSOA cluster maps, that cover the period of specimen dates between November 16 and November 22, Callington and Pensilva (21), Bodmin East (20), Wonford and St Loye’s (20), and Barnstaple Sticklepath (20) are the only four areas with a cluster of 20 or more
This compares to 29 areas last week. Ottery St Mary and West Hill (17), Cullompton (15), Efford, Laira & Crabtree (18), Ivybridge (7), Starcross and Exminster (12), Higher Brixham and Preston and Shorton (18), Hartland Coast (11) and Okehampton (10) are the other 'worst hit'
The hope and expectation would be that cases will continue to fall next week as well, given we will still be in lockdown, and probably the following week as well, as while in Tier system, the lag means most infections will be from pre-lockdown
The impact of the Tier system probably won't be seen until December 10/11 at the earliest in terms of new cases being confirmed, while the impact of the lockdown is only just started to be seen in terms of hospitalisations and deaths
Usual caveats around only confirmed cases etc being included, but the ONS estimates appear to show a decrease in the South West as well, so all the metrics for cases are moving in the right direction.
Full story to follow, but here's reaction to the Tier news from yesterday - devonlive.com/news/devon-new… and devonlive.com/news/devon-new… and devonlive.com/news/devon-new…
Saturday's figures show 203 new cases across Devon and Cornwall, slightly higher than last week and recent days, but skewed by a lot of backdating of cases in North Devon and Torridge, and pretty much everywhere else is still seeing cases fall
17 new cases in Cornwall (11 from Nov 26, 6 from Nov 25), 22 in East Devon (17 from Nov 26, 5 from Nov 25), 19 in Exeter (12 from Nov 26, 7 from Nov 25), 7 in Mid Devon (6 from Nov 26, 1 from Nov 25), 30 in Plymouth (24 from Nov 26, 3 from Nov 24 and 25), 2 in West Devon (Nov 26)
5 in South Hams (4 from Nov 26, 1 from Nov 25), 5 in Teignbridge (4 from Nov 26, 1 from Nov 25), 17 in Torbay (12 from Nov 26, 2 from Nov 25, 3 from Nov 24). And then 39 in North Devon (7 from Nov 26, 9 from Nov 25, 3 from Nov 24 and 23, 2 from Nov 22, 21, 17 and 13.....
1 from Nov 16, and 8 'historic cases), and 40 in Torridge (10 from Nov 26, 8 from Nov 25, 3 from Nov 22 and 18, 2 from Nov 19, 1 from Nov 24, 20, 17 and 15, and 10 historic cases). South West hospital figures fall from 938 to 903.
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