The EU position on its face is imminently reasonable. The realities and mechanics is where it falls apart. Let me give you a couple of examples. First, the EU is years behind the US in cybersecurity. Y.E.A.R.S. Second, lacking the expertise and resources, this sounds a lot 1/n
Another opportunity to free ride than actually do something. Couple that with the EUs ability to churn out working papers that mean nothing in practice and I wouldn't hold my breath. Then this is mostly national sovereignty issue and not an EU issue difficult to see national 2/n
Governments moving or allocating the necessary resources needed. Third, national investment encapsulates all these issues perfectly. Every EU country had the ability to set their own investment policy (think NordStream). They don't need the US to set national security 3/n
Investment policy. Furthermore, the EU had talked about this for sometime. Nothing is legging any member state or even the EU from blocking all this now. The Trump administration even urged them do take a tougher line on Chinese investment. 4/n
Don't get me wrong at all: these are necessary policy reforms and conceptually they make total sense. Mechanically and pragmatically however is where it falls apart. The US isn't needed for almost any of this and is likely only a free riding disguise not and actual reform.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Secret Agent Balding 大老板

Secret Agent Balding 大老板 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @BaldingsWorld

18 Nov
This article highlights the absurdity of Acela Corridor journalists who have the memory of a fruit fly repeating inane talking points about US policy towards Europe and allies. Follow me a moment 1/n
politico.eu/article/german…
Germany openly admits they absolutely must have the US security guarantee because other than a handful of boy scouts and launching stale Nutella at invading forces, they have absolutely no capabilities and will not be investing in their security any time soon. 2/n
Not only is it true which admit it, they have refused really since 1989 to do anything but free ride off of the American security guarantee. They insist on running extremely tight fiscal policy all while throwing temper tantrums when the US draws down forces. This isn't new 3/n
Read 8 tweets
29 Oct
So since I have had a couple people send this to me. Let me respond. Couple of things very important to note. First, I wrote a very small part of this report. I stand by the report because I went over it with a fine tooth comb and have known the 1/n
nbcnews.com/tech/security/…
The primary author for nearly a decade. The primary author faces personal and professional risk for outing themselves and I am going to respect that. Too all China focused journalists: there is a not insignificant chance you have dealt with this person. To hear journalists 2/n
Who use anonymous sources all the time was morally superior is disgusting. Second, no one has written about the contents of the paper or found factual fault with anything in the report. That reveals the readers bias not a problem with the report. If there is a factual error 3/n
Read 17 tweets
22 Oct
This is a good question and they're are two ways to approach this. First, we actually have pretty good hard data. In reality, Trump overseas business interests are pretty minimal. His business model for the most part is brand licensing which may or may not be a good thing 1/n
Going forward. From the information we have his income from foreign sources is actually relatively minimal and predates his time as President. Philippines, UAE, India others. Specifically in China, it's not large and he holds no assets I'm aware of. If I'm wrong let me know 3/n
Biden holds a 10% stake in a $6.5b fund turning out $130m a year in fee revenue. That one comparison makes Biden significantly more leveraged in China than Trump. Second, if we turn to potential embarrassing info that China might have on either very difficult to say 4/n
Read 4 tweets
22 Oct
I had really not wanted to do this but roughly 2 months ago I was handed a report about Biden activities in China the press has simply refused to cover. I want to strongly emphasize I did not write the report but I know who did. Key points are this: baldingsworld.com/2020/10/22/rep…
Hunter Biden is partnered with the Chinese state. Entire investment partnership is Chinese state money from social security fund to China Development Bank. It is actually a subsidiary of the Bank of China. This is not remotely anything less than a Chinese state funded play 2/n
Though the entire size of the fund cannot be reconstructed, the Taiwanese cofounder who is now detained in China, reports it to be NOT $1-1.5 billion but $6.5 billion. This would make Hunters stake worth at a minimum at least $50 million if he was to sell it. 3/n
Read 9 tweets
20 Oct
This fine report falls victim to one of the most common problems of reports from DC think tanks. Let me start by saying, the recommendations are clear, reasonable, and understandable. Where it fails, like many similar reports, is its lack of realism 1/n cnas.org/publications/r…
Just to take one example from the report, point #2 says "Aim for Coordinated, if Not Common, Policies" with Europe with regards to China. This is a perfectly reasonable and valid position if we are not focused on the reality we must grapple with. So in a way 2/n
I am not critiquing the position at all on the other hand I am saying it is entirely unrealistic. It is only maybe since the beginning of 2020 that Europe has started to take China seriously despite Trump administration efforts across a range of policy domains. Additionally 3/n
Read 7 tweets
18 Oct
I had a non- American non Trump friend message me with this graphic a few days ago. They asked: why does everyone think this is a Biden landslide? Just on polling, this looks almost identical to 2016 leaving aside all those complications.

They are totally right. 1/n
It is easy to conceive of scenarios Biden and Trump both approach 400 EC votes and just as easy to see scenarios it comes down to one state like 2000. I think there are factors that are not being considered but for many reasons they all could mean something or nothing. 2/n
Add in the 2020 complications and real data outliers, advisable to significantly expand variance expectations. Think I'm wrong? Each party is behaving like I'm right. The Biden campaign doesn't enlist Obama, one of their two real campaign planks (other is he is not Trump) 3/n
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!