I know its a sore point with many people here but as someone who has leave voting family - people need to get real.
There is NO point now Labour trying to sabotage any Johnson deal.
1. It won't work 2. 90% of the population can't move on against Johnson until Brexit is past
2/
The problem many remainers have is they assume Leavers can be persuaded even at this late stage.
Its over.
The Newsnight watching class is circa 2% of population.
Leave voters will only be able to move on once Brexit becomes a present to be improved/critqued not a debate.
3/
The bad news:
The majority of Leavers are not going to support some "trick" to remain at this stage.
The good news:
No party can defend an existing disapointing present.
Once that starts things move fast.
4/
You need to offer an improvement - attack the Govt for the deal agreed. But so long as people perceive you are "stopping Brexit" they wont help.
You need to pick up every loser, every disaster and sell "your version of Brexit".
Not as rejoin but as a better present.
5/
We can't know the exact mood in 6 months time - but I hazard a guess: it won't be "Brex-topia".
So you play 3 level game
Present - You attack the poor Brexit deal
Medium term - You aim roll back towards BRINO
Longterm - You want rejoin
Anything else you're wasting time.
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The romantic love triangle between Clint Eastwood, Meryl Streep & Donald Trump.
A thread.
2/
In Sidney Powell’s legal case against the “huge vote rigging” of the November 2020 against Joe Biden...a number of eye witness accounts and data were used to back to up the claim that Biden received “over 100% of the total vote” in certain counties”.
3/
As evidence the example was given of incredible, statistically impossible vote counts in Edison county. A result that can only be explained by fraud.
There’s only one problem.
There is no Edison County - certainly not in Michigan..or anywhere.
Yet another reason why this idea Johnson can somehow “hide Brexit pain inside COVID” won’t work.
A short thread.
2/
1st recessions - it seems mean to say this but many recessions leave most people completely untouched - indeed many people benefit. Most people don’t lose their jobs & IR tend to go down.
In other words economic pain is not equally dealt around.
3/
If Brexit causes a 5% decline of economic growth compared to what it would do in EU - then some people will be utterly unaffected while other sectors will collapse and some people will lose their jobs.
Sir Alex Allan resigned his position partially because Boris Johnson personally interfered into the report into bullying by Sir Alex Allan in an effort to cover up Priti Patel's behaviour.
2/
Whole story now falling apart.
Expect this in the news over the next 12 hours
3/ Sir Alex & Johnson at odds on Patel behaviour since months.
Sir Alex clearly viewed Patel's behaviour as a breach of the ministerial code - hence resignation now upon release.
As I keep saying - forget the debates on TV...very few people in the conservative establishment be it media, the Conservative Party or business believe in Brexit now.
The debates are phony.
So why are we still doing Brexit?
The answer is simple...& has little to do with Europe.
2/
The answer lies in the way British society is structured.
We have no constitution but what we do have is a ruling establishment that is amongst the most stable in western world - this is the UKs constitution.
The same schools, families, university clubs since centuries.
3/
One thing many Brits dont appreciate:
The Tories are far more infused into society than a European conservative party - these are recent inventions.
The Tories ARE the ruling elite - the CDU is just a party.
& Brexit is not just a policy - its a reflection of culture.