Thread by @ask0704

[Thread] Fraudulent analysis. NDA got around 45% of the vote. NOT 38%, cannot be said that the other 55% voted against NDA - it also included 2.7% IND and 1+% NOTA .. Those are not opposition votes. And this business of adding votes randomly across seats, does not work. (1/n)

https://twitter.com/kapskom/status/1333780142045290501

You cannot just randomly add votes that parties received in diff parts of India & just say that nationally if we add them all this is 50%+ against NDA. That can be done if India voted like the US does in presidential elections. In Lok Sabha elections it doesn't work that way(2/n)

Lets take the example of Telangana and Odisha. Where TRS and BJD were in a contest with BJD. Congress polled a few votes there too. If TRS and BJD were in alliance with Congress, there is no evidence to suggest that all the numbers will add up, BJP might get more votes too (3/n)

These are just 2 states, there are many seats where local parties will get a few votes - those are based on local candidates. You CANNOT just add them up and assume they would go towards the non BJP candidate. I am amazed that people who are analysts need to be told this. (4/n)

Every few months, this ridiculous theory that never came up during UPA comes up. (UPA won 2009 with around 37-38% of the vote), but regardless this is how the FPTP system is. You cannot just add up all other votes and conclude more people are against xyz party. (5/n)

But, sadly when opinions come into analysis this is what you get. Real analysis is replaced by wishful thinking. And i cannot believe that every few months this silly theory of only 38% of India voted for BJP is propagated. Absolutely ridiculous. (6/6) @kapskom

A couple of years ago i wrote this piece on @myindmakers "It is time to call out the bluff on the claim that 69% of India voted against @narendramodi".. the same facts apply today when the NDA in fact has come back with a 7% higher vote share. myind.net/Home/viewArtic…