Thread by @SenatorRobHogg

December 4, 2020

Another horrific day from coronavirus in Iowa.

Iowa is reporting another 84 deaths from coronavirus - the highest day yet - for a total of 2,603 deaths since the first coronavirus death on March 24.

Each person had loved ones and caregivers.

#IowaMourns

Here are the counties in Iowa where coronavirus deaths were reported by the state between 10 am Dec. 3 and 10 am Dec. 4:

Black Hawk (8)
Bremer
Butler (2)
Carroll
Cass
Cedar
Cerro Gordo (3)
Chickasaw
Clay
Clayton
Clinton
Dallas
Des Moines (2)
Dickinson
Dubuque (5)

. . .

Coronavirus deaths in Iowa by county reported today (cont'd):

Floyd (2)
Greene
Grundy (3)
Hamilton
Hardin
Ida
Iowa
Jackson (3)
Jefferson (3)
Johnson (2)
Jones
Lee (2)
Linn
Louisa
Madison
Marshall (3)
Mills
Monona
Muscatine
Page
Polk (6)
Pottawattamie (3)

. . .

Coronavirus deaths in Iowa by county reported today (cont'd):

Poweshiek
Scott (3)
Story
Tama
Union
Warren
Washington
Woodbury (4)
Worth

All across Iowa.

#IowaMourns

With the death reported in Worth, coronavirus has now killed Iowans in 98 of our 99 counties.

Here's a link to Worth County Public Health confirming the death:
facebook.com/Worth-County-P…

Please mourn the dead, support their loved ones and caregivers, and help stop the spread!

On a day when 84 deaths are reported, Iowa reports hospitalizations for coronavirus were down 124 to 1,000, including 209 in intensive care (down 15) and 128 on ventilators (down 3).

There were 123 new admissions to Iowa hospitals for coronavirus in the last 24-hour period.

Iowa reports there are now 135 long-term care outbreaks.

Iowa also reports there have been 1,096 deaths of long-term care residents.

See the image I just took from the state's coronavirus website:

Yesterday at approximately 10:50 am I grabbed this image of the long-term care data at the state's coronavirus website.

I suspect the state made a mistake or has changed how it is reporting long-term care outbreaks because today's data shows 35 fewer outbreaks and 1 less death.

Between 10 am Dec. 3 and 10 am Dec. 4, Iowa reported 2,901 new cases of coronavirus, up from 236,792 to 239,693.

Of the 2,901 new cases, there were 366 new cases for Iowa kids under age 18 for a total of 23,960.

That's up from 11,305 on Halloween and 4,538 on September 1.

Subtracting deaths (2,603) and "recoveries" (152,331) from total cases (239,693), there are 84,759 active cases of coronavirus in Iowa - or one out of every 38 Iowans.

That's down slightly, but as recently as October 7, we were under 20,000 active cases (19,691).

Here's another way to think about 2,901 new cases.

So far, coronavirus has killed 2,603 Iowans while 152,331 have "recovered." That's a ratio of 1.68 deaths for every 100 cases where an outcome has been determined.

Applying that rate to the 2,901 new cases, over 47 would die.

The 2,901 new cases were confirmed on 7,588 reported tests (from 1,229,582 to 1,237,170) for a rate of 38.2%.

The state has changed how it reports its "positive case analysis." When I looked quickly this morning, I didn't see a report on the daily positive rate for new tests.

There are 77 counties where Gov. Reynolds loosened Iowa's limited coronavirus restrictions May 1, without an alternative safety plan.

On April 30, they had 559 total cases and 11 total deaths.

Today, they had 1,463 new cases (total 103,303) and 42 more deaths (total 1,146).

Biggest case increases in the 77 counties (new cases, total cases, new tests reported, % is new cases divided by tests reported - state has acknowledged not reporting all tests):

Pottawattamie: Up 176 to 6,885 – 613 tests (28.7%)
Webster: Up 62 to 3,786 – 146 tests (42.5%)

Clinton: Up 57 to 3,476 – 126 tests (45.2%)
Warren: Up 50 to 2,970 – 122 tests (41.0%)
Story: Up 49 to 7,033 – 204 tests (24.0%)
Wapello: Up 48 to 2,685 – 119 tests (40.3%)
Cerro Gordo: Up 46 to 3,740 – 116 tests (39.7%)
Plymouth: Up 39 to 2,892 – 87 tests (44.8%)

. . .

Lee: Up 35 to 2,307 – 72 tests (48.6%)
Boone: Up 34 to 1,464 – 85 tests (40.0%)
Winneshiek: Up 31 to 1,068 – 60 tests (51.7%)
Marion: Up 31 to 2,135 – 91 tests (34.1%)
Jackson: Up 30 to 1,519 – 48 tests (62.5%)
Harrison: Up 29 to 1,141 – 71 tests (40.8%)

. . .

Mills: Up 27 to 1,118 – 89 tests (30.3%)
Clay: Up 27 to 1,257 – 37 tests (73.0%)
Montgomery: Up 23 to 522 – 50 tests (46.0%)
Appanoose: Up 23 to 830 – 58 tests (39.7%)
Hardin: Up 23 to 1,233 – 35 tests (65.7%)
Crawford: Up 23 to 1,833 – 42 tests (54.8%)

. . .

Cherokee: Up 22 to 971 – 46 tests (47.8%)
Page: Up 21 to 1,195 – 43 tests (48.8%)
Hamilton: Up 21 to 1,199 – 47 tests (44.7%)
Buena Vista: Up 21 to 3,173 – 39 tests (53.8%)
Cass: Up 17 to 857 – 49 tests (34.7%)
Madison: Up 16 to 733 – 37 tests (43.2%)

. . .

Guthrie: Up 16 to 788 – 20 tests (80.0%)
Hancock: Up 16 to 920 – 35 tests (45.7%)
Kossuth: Up 16 to 1,182 – 23 tests (69.6%)
Dickinson: Up 16 to 1,461 – 46 tests (34.8%)
Sioux: Up 16 to 3,845 – 55 tests (29.1%)

. . .

Monroe: Up 15 to 466 – 19 tests (78.9%)
Jefferson: Up 15 to 766 – 41 tests (36.6%)
Union: Up 15 to 851 – 35 tests (42.9%)
Floyd: Up 15 to 1,124 – 34 tests (44.1%)
Cedar: Up 15 to 1,149 – 50 tests (30.0%)
Wright: Up 15 to 1,317 – 40 tests (37.5%)

. . .

Ida: Up 14 to 549 – 31 tests (45.2%)
Butler: Up 14 to 1,076 – 28 tests (50.0%)
Clayton: Up 14 to 1,158 – 34 tests (41.2%)
Decatur: Up 12 to 341 – 19 tests (63.2%)
Lyon: Up 12 to 1,077 – 21 tests (57.1%)
O’Brien: Up 12 to 1,356 – 28 tests (42.9%)

. . .

Ringgold: Up 11 to 250 – 20 tests (55.0%)
Chickasaw: Up 11 to 921 – 19 tests (57.9%)
Delaware: Up 11 to 1,482 – 32 tests (34.4%)
Carroll: Up 11 to 2,047 – 36 tests (30.6%)
Adair: Up 10 to 459 – 17 tests (58.8%)
Keokuk: Up 10 to 658 – 13 tests (76.9%)

. . .

Buchanan: Up 10 to 1,235 – 24 tests (41.7%)
Davis: Up 9 to 490 – 14 tests (64.3%)
Clarke: Up 9 to 510 – 18 tests (50.0%)
Shelby: Up 9 to 807 – 55 tests (16.4%)
Winnebago: Up 9 to 964 – 14 tests (64.3%)
Mahaska: Up 9 to 1,342 – 34 tests (26.5%)

. . .

Jones: Up 9 to 2,372 – 25 tests (36.0%)
Lucas: Up 8 to 345 – 18 tests (44.4%)
Fremont: Up 8 to 384 – 31 tests (25.8%)
Monona: Up 8 to 459 – 32 tests (25.0%)
Humboldt: Up 8 to 814 – 26 tests (30.8%)
Calhoun: Up 7 to 1,099 – 21 tests (33.3%)

. . .

Mitchell: Up 6 to 844 – 19 tests (31.6%)
Sac: Up 6 to 906 – 14 tests (42.9%)
Audubon: Up 5 to 311 – 26 tests (19.2%)
Van Buren: Up 5 to 381 – 11 tests (45.5%)
Worth: Up 5 to 388 – 14 tests (35.7%)
Palo Alto: Up 5 to 678 – 13 tests (38.5%)

. . .

Franklin: Up 5 to 766 – 18 tests (27.8%)
Emmet: Up 5 to 792 – 17 tests (29.4%)
Taylor: Up 4 to 484 – 15 tests (26.7%)
Osceola: Up 4 to 548 – 10 tests (40.0%)
Howard: Up 4 to 588 – 9 tests (44.4%)
Pocahontas: Up 4 to 602 – 12 tests (33.3%)

. . .

Greene: Up 3 to 543 – 17 tests (17.6%)
Grundy: Up 3 to 895 – 16 tests (18.8%)
Adams: Up 2 to 183 – 11 tests (18.2%)
Wayne: Up 1 to 308 – 9 tests (11.1%)

All 77 counties had new cases reported.

Now for the 22 counties where Gov. Reynolds repeatedly loosened Iowa's limited restrictions without an alternative safety plan starting in mid-May:

No new cases: None.
One new case: None.
Two new cases: None.
Three new cases: None.
Four new cases: None.

. . .

Louisa: Up 5 to 903 – 17 tests (29.4%)
Tama: Up 7 to 1,574 – 17 tests (41.2%)
Washington: Up 10 to 1,506 – tests adjusted down 1* (NA)
Benton: Up 10 to 1,759 – 34 tests (29.4%)

*Washington was up 10 cases (from 1,496 to 1,506) and adjusted down one test (from 8,610 to 8,609).

Iowa: Up 11 to 1,016 – 26 tests (42.3%)
Fayette: Up 12 to 1,102 – 31 tests (38.7%)
Poweshiek: Up 17 to 1,039 – 40 tests (42.5%)
Allamakee: Up 23 to 896 – 37 tests (62.2%)
Bremer: Up 23 to 2,030 – 46 tests (50.0%)
Jasper: Up 24 to 2,323 – 73 tests (32.9%)

. . .

Henry: Up 36 to 1,956 – 39 tests (92.3%)
Des Moines: Up 41 to 3,041 – 93 tests (44.1%)
Marshall: Up 41 to 3,621 – 63 tests (65.1%)
Johnson: Up 65 to 9,881 – 251 tests (25.9%)
Dubuque: Up 66 to 9,501 – 158 tests (41.8%)
Muscatine: Up 67 to 3,064 – 122 tests (54.9%)

. . .

Dallas: Up 74 to 6,651 – 209 tests (35.4%)
Black Hawk: Up 76 to 11,297 – 214 tests (35.5%)
Linn: Up 100 to 14,793 – 398 tests (25.1%)
Woodbury: Up 135 to 10,773 – 320 tests (42.2%)
Scott: Up 179 to 11,869 – 419 tests (42.7%)
Polk: Up 414 to 35,085 – 1,104 tests (37.5%)

Now for specific regions and groups of counties.

If you would like more data about coronavirus in a county or a region or group of counties, let me know and I'll do my best to provide it.

Email me at rob [dot] hogg [at] legis [dot] iowa [dot] gov.

Winnebago & neighbors:

Winnebago: 9-14
Worth: 5-14, 1 death
Cerro Gordo: 46-116, 3 deaths
Hancock: 16-35
Kossuth: 16-23

TOTAL: 4 deaths, 92 cases, 202 tests (45.5%)

Thru 6-16: 1 death, 118 cases, 6,224 tests (1.9%)
Since 6-16: 93 deaths, 7,076 cases, 29,176 tests (24.3%)

Iowa Lakes Region (today):

Clay: 27-37, 1 death
Dickinson: 16-46, 1 death
Emmet: 5-17
Osceola: 4-10
Palo Alto: 5-13

TOTAL: 2 deaths, 57 cases, 123 tests (46.3%)

Iowa Lakes Region (by season):

Spring (thru May 23): 0 deaths, 58 cases, 1,126 tests (5.2%)

Summer (May 23-Sept. 21): 19 deaths, 1,265 cases, 12,341 tests (10.3%)

Fall (Sept. 21-Dec. 4): 29 deaths, 3,413 cases, 9,538 tests (35.8%)

Counties with prisons:

Calhoun: 7-21
Jones: 9-25
Lee: 35-72
Page: 21-43
Webster: 62-146

Henry: 36-39
Jasper: 24-73
Johnson: 65-251
Polk: 414-1104

DOC update (Dec. 3 data):
Inmates: 28 new cases, 295 active (down 61)
Staff: 4 new cases, 55 active (same)
No additional deaths

Coronavirus in Iowa Summary for Dec. 4:

84 more deaths (2,603 total) (highest yet)
1,000 hospitalized, 209 in intensive care
2,901 new cases including 366 kids under age 18

For the people you love, please be patient and help stop the spread of this deadly infectious disease.