Ware County Election Supervisor Carlos Nelson told me this is false: No one has obtained any machine from his office. There was a human-error tabulation issue discovered during the hand recount, the tallies of which were matched by the just-ended machine recount
2/6 According to Nelson: this involved absentee ballots and human error with tabulation equipment, which have nothing to do with the Dominion voting machines that people use to mark their ballots on Election Day at the precinct.
3/6 Ware County elections workers scanned a batch of ballots but there was a jam during the tabulating process. So ballots needed to be re-scanned. The ballots were then rescanned/tabulated, but they forgot to erase the prior scan
4/6 As a result of the tabulation problem and the human error, the final numbers in Ware County were off. It wasn't caught until there was the Risk Limiting Audit was performed where ballots were counted by hand. A subsequent machine recount confirmed the handcount numbers
5/6 What are the numbers we're talking about? Very small, says Nelson. In the end, Biden's vote count dropped by 42 in Ware (4,211 to 4,169); Trump rose by 37 (9,865 to 9,903). One of those new Trump votes was an overvote that the elex board said clearly was intended for Trump
6/6 Nelson was clearly exasperated by the disinformation disseminated by Steve Bannon: "Social media and people are gonna make what they can out of it to fit their narrative."
Tweet 1 of 4
Florida has 67 counties but since presidential campaigns are marketing efforts that orient spending by media market, here are the preliminary 2020 election results broken down by those 10 regions (thanks @DavidCypkin for the graphics!)
Who will win Florida? I really don't know. My feeling changes by the minute, interview & data set, the latter 2 of which I've swum in. I can see it being very close or near 3 (a Florida landslide lol). I default to "very close" because of interviews & data, inc. poll avgs
2/4
As for FL polls, if you don't have a 1k sample w/Hispanic oversample, be very wary of relying on its toplines. Many don't provide party breaks (% of Rs, Ds & Is voting for the candidates). Use polls as a guidepost, but pay attn to its partisan/electorate composition, to
3/4 FL has a D+1 electorate right now (Ds cast 39% of ballots; Rs 38%). Rs are expected to change that Election Day but by how much?
Ds think Biden wins R+1 & R+2 electorate. Rs say no to the latter maybe to the former.
Historically, Ds win in D+ electorates, Rs win in R+ years
Democrats stopped the bleeding on the last day of early voting, gaining a new 13k early ballots on Republicans. Dem margin: 108,123, which should grow as more ABs come in
Drawing from our reporters with residency or roots in or around the nation’s biggest battlegrounds, @politico profiled the 8 key states where the presidential election will be decided
AZ, FL, GA, MI, MN, NC, PA & WI
Take a tour below 👇
2) Arizona
There’s a reason Biden has spent more on TV in the Phoenix media market than in any other in the nation
The use of Jumbotron video messages in the midst of Trump rallies —in the case of the Dubuque event, he’s showing a mashup of Biden NAFTA, trade & gaffes — is an innovative technique other campaigns will make standard in the future
The rally is being broadcast live on Fox, which is showing the rally showing people watching clips from Fox played on the Jumbotron
If memory serves, Nixon invented the technique of airport rallies and his campaign might be associated with the first use of the term "photo op"