I see London think tank Brexit Twitter’s line is “deadlines have come and gone, so 🤷♂️”
Sunday may indeed not be a solid deadline, but yesterday’s 🍽 changed a few things
First, a meeting was meant to solve what 2x 📞 between vdL and Johnson hadn’t. It didn’t. Differences remain.
Second, at each vdL-Johnson 📞 there was a commitment to speak again. This time there isn’t. It’s back to Barnier-Frost who’ve been trying for months.
Third, were something to emerge Sunday there’s no time for the EP to ratify it. Sunday might not be a deadline as such, but it loses 4 days more.
Fourth, the Commission has now triggered No Deal contingency.
🍽 last night might not have decisively set the path for the UK to No Deal. But it did mark the point where the route to a Deal by 31 December was closed off.
/ends
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I see some well known people - including the 🇬🇧 Foreign Secretary and the BBC's Political Editor - are struggling a bit with their #Brexit terminology today
So here's a terminology guide that is as simple as possible.
1/10
DEAL means there is a piece of paper (or, to be precise, more like 600 pages) that both 🇬🇧 and 🇪🇺 agree and sign, and is OKed by the institutions on both sides, by 31st December.
Were this agreed it would be the basis for 🇬🇧-🇪🇺 relations medium term.
2/10
NO DEAL means there is no piece of paper agreed and signed by 🇬🇧 and 🇪🇺 by 31st December.
Unlike a DEAL, we do not know how long this NO DEAL (or perhaps better NO DEAL PERIOD) would last. Weeks? Months?
There's something personally psychologically weird about this morning
I can - logically - see no way to a Deal by 31 December now
But at the back of my brain a kind of "what if?" keeps nagging at me
It's like what supporting a football team about to be relegated must be like.
You know a result in some other game has to end 17-0 for your team to be saved, and the team that needs to win 17-0 has a waterlogged pitch and its main striker injured...
... but until that result comes in you cannot really, completely and fully process what is happening
And also being good at explaining complex stuff means you know your limits, and know who to ask when you struggle.
Here follows a list of people who've helped me in the past couple of weeks. I don't agree with all of them, all the time, but you should follow *all* of them - because above all they have the right *attitude* to solving complex problems!
If it's *before*, there's the danger that both sides have too big a gap to bridge - and Johnson has to return to London outwitted by a Brussels bureaucrat
If it's *after*, the UK thinks it might have gained an advantage by running the clock down further, but with time already really short that's a very dangerous game
Wednesday (or Thursday morning) makes most logical sense - it would allow vdL and Johnson to seal a deal, and then the European Council Thursday afternoon can agree it
Friday afternoon (or Saturday) I suppose is an option as fallback
The theoretical option - and I presume the one Johnson is pushing for and hence why we do not know the schedule yet - is he's in Brussels when the European Council happens, and he can even talk direct to the Heads of State and Government there
The transport ministers from 🇩🇪🇦🇹🇫🇷🇨🇭, and the CEOs of the state-owned 🚅 operators in each (DB, ÖBB, SNCF, SBB), held a press conference about night trains today...
This slide summarises what they'd agreed
Don't get me wrong: night trains are *good*, and the trains on these routes will be ÖBB NightJet services, and ÖBB runs the best night trains there are in Europe.
I personally will be very happy to take these trains.
But so much for the good news.
Most of these routes have *already* been announced (Zürich to BCN, Rome, Amsterdam) - see presse.oebb.at/de/presseinfor…