The Republican Coup: Pre Election planning.

The party took control of postal services and reduced access in areas likely to vote Democrat.

It also put out drop boxes marked "official" to trick Democrat voters into handing their votes to Republicans to filter them out.

1/7 Image
The Republican Coup: The Launch

The Party ordered that postal votes be counted late in key states.

The Party told Republicans not to vote by post.

The Party then declared victory before the resulting democrat-heavy postal votes were counted.

2/7 Image
The Republican Coup: Cancelling the Election

The Party, having spread propaganda about postal ballot fraud, sent their people to force counting to stop.

The Party then issued statements accusing the election of being a fraud - preparing the ground to disregard it.

3/7 Image
The Republican Coup: Appoint Coup Loyalists

The Party replaced senior military officials with loyalists supportive of the coup.

The Party also filed lawsuits to motivate its paramilitary base and to lay groundwork for Party loyalists in the Supreme court to back the coup.

4/7 ImageImage
The Republican Coup: Death Threats

The party's base sent death threats to officials.

The Party then called officials to demand they refuse to ratify the vote.

Also amid death threats, The Party demanded officials appoint electors loyal to the coup to overrule voters.

5/7 ImageImage
The Republican Coup: Setback and Plan B

With groundwork laid, the Party took its coup to the Supreme Court too late with too many losses established. Officials stood firm for democracy too.

So the Party's paramilitaries have been sent to the streets and are now in position.
6/7 ImageImage
The Republican Coup: Next Steps

The Party will use its paramilitary base to create violence, blame the other side and arrest opposition (Democrat) ring/leaders.

The Party would then send in the military / National Guard to take back control for the Party but it may refuse.

7/7 ImageImage
P.S.

None of this is unusual. Hundreds of coups have followed this path. Each is slightly different because each country has different constitutional situations but the present coup is practically off the peg. A bog standard coup.

One just hopes the Republican Party fails. Image
Republican Coup update: Fake Electors

The Party sent fake officials with dodgy paperwork to try to replace a state's actual electors.

Much of this coup is a by-the-book coup but that move was sad desperation.

The real Plan B after courts is always thugs and military. (Tweet 7) Image

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More from @Margin4Error

8 Nov 20
The Biden win is bad for the Tories in four big ways.

1. Biden remembers Johnson's racism towards Obama.

2. Biden supports the rules-based global order.

3. Biden represents a win for competence over nationalist bluster.

4. Biden won't rush a trade deal that hurts Irish peace.
Biden dislikes Johnson because Johnson is racist. Remember, he was VP under Obama when Johnson disregarded Obama for being black.

So don't expect Biden to hide his disdain for Johnson behind the scenes or be kind about UK policy.

Biden supports the rules. He's not a radical or extremist like Trump and Johnson. He supports the Western Alliance.

So he supports the WTO and the EU and he will require the UK's rule-breaking government to fall in line or face punishment by our allies.
Read 5 tweets
6 Nov 20
Big problems for the Republican Party that stem from this election.

1. Trump may turn on them for letting him down.
2. Trump may stick around like a bad smell.
3. Georgia and Texas are becoming swing states.
4. The popular vote can't be defeated forever. Image
Trump may now turn on Republicans for letting him down.

Donald Trump will not accept he was at fault. So he'll blame imaginary fraud.

The Republican Party will move on, will not push forward Trump electors in defiance of state votes, so Trump may attack them for weakness. Image
If Trump blames Republicans for not backing him - in pursuing imaginary fraud, keeping his people out of jail, or even for refusing to overturn state democracy - many Trump fans will turn on the party too.

That's problematic as the party needs those voters still. Image
Read 10 tweets
3 Nov 20
Brexit creates four big strategic problems for the UK. In order of importance they are:

1. The likely end of the UK
2. The loss of national security
3. The loss of future energy security
4. Economic harm

And yes, economic harm really is only fourth.

A thread...
Brexit will likely end the UK.

This was widely expected of brexit before the vote in 2016, since Scotland exposed to Westminster (English) government without EU protection was likely to want independence. Polling now shows a big shift towards independence as a result.
England might hope to deny Scotland independence by simply refusing it. Global history however, shows that is highly unlikely to work. Having alienated our NATO allies with brexit, the UK will have little backing to deny democracy in Scotland if it wants independence.
Read 9 tweets
13 Dec 19
Manifesto For Opposition.

1. Electoral Reform
2. Climate Change
3. Reinvigorate the State
4. Internationalism
5. Devolve Power
6. Rebuild NHS

Opposition parties need to come together to find common ground. Here's how:

1/8
Manifesto For Opposition.

Electoral Reform

There is fundamental right behind votes mattering. All opposition parties can benefit from a less extreme electoral system.

Agree a platform across parties, and this will ease future co-operation.

2/8 Image
Manifesto For Opposition.

Climate Change

All opposition parties agree climate change matters.

So agreeing a new consensus on how to undertake a green revolution makes more sense than marginally different approaches.

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets

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