We've got a big one for ya—real big: 2020 presidential results for all 53 of California's congressional districts! dkel.ec/383yVVJ
Three of the most interesting results came in seats Dems won in '18 but the GOP flipped in '20: #CA21, #CA25, and #CA39. Republicans won all three by about 1 pt, but Biden carried each district by around 10 pts, suggesting a lot of ticket-splitting
That wasn't the case in the GOP's fourth flip, #CA48, which Biden carried by 2 but Republican Michelle Steel won by 2. Still an overperformance, but not as dramatic. Both parties will want to study these races to understand the crossover vote
Though Biden won CA by 830K votes more than Clinton, he slipped by double digits in four districts, all of which have big Latino majorities. A number of other heavily Latino seats saw smaller but sizable dips. A one-time event or a trend? We shall see
Republicans also have some districts to worry about: After giving the GOP giant wins for years, both #CA22 & #CA50 moved to the left this year and saw Republicans win by 8 points. Of course, redistricting will scramble things, so much remains unknown!
Bookmark our full set of presidential results by congressional district here: dkel.ec/presbycd

And find our detailed California worksheet right here: dkel.ec/2KqDcdw

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More from @DKElections

3 Jun
19% of precincts reporting (all in Luzerne County) in #PA08 GOP primary to take on Dem Rep. Matt Cartwright. Former Trump admin official Jim Bognet leads 43-19
16% of precincts reporting in #PA01 Dem primary to take on Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, and Christina Finello leads 76-24. She became front runner after a better-funded opponent dropped out after filing deadline
48% of precincts reporting in #IN05 primaries. On Dem side, Christina Hale's lead has expanded to 39-27. For GOP, Victoria Spartz still up 39-19
Read 62 tweets
13 Sep 17
YES! Dems pick up *another* GOP seat in NH special tonight. Won 56-44 in seat Trump carried 56-39—a 28-point swing! dkel.ec/2xwclp4
This is now the FIFTH legislative seat Dems have picked up from the GOP this year. We've updated our big board: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Obama won this seat by less than a point, so Dem Charlie St. Clair's victory is a 12-point swing from 2012 results as well
Read 14 tweets

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