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17 Dec, 6 tweets, 3 min read
If you've already used your first WC then it's worth saving your FT this week if you can.

They might be waiting to see what happens in the EFL Cup QFs next week, and then if Man Utd win their QF at Everton they would be under more pressure to move BUR vs MUN to Jan 13th (GW18).
I'm not exactly sure what the deal is with the winter break/split midweek.

The TV contract might dictate that Sky and BT get to show every game in the split midweek in a unique timeslot, which would block BUR vs MUN from moving to Jan 13th.
I don't think BUR vs MUN can be moved to 6pm on Jan 14th because WHU vs BUR is on Jan 16th and WHU vs WBA is on Jan 19th (teams need two rest days between fixtures)
MCI vs AVL could possibly be moved to Jan 20th in DGW19 if the TV companies are happy to have fixtures overlapping and the PL are willing to let clubs play in their "winter break".

MCI vs AVL could only be moved to 6pm on Jan 21st if WBA vs MCI in GW20 is moved from Tue to Weds.
There's less pressure to move MCI vs AVL to DGW19 than there is to move BUR vs MUN to BGW18.

Both MCI and AVL will have the midweek of Feb 16th free (GW24).
Would they rather move MCI vs AVL to a winter break night or a Champions League night? 🤷‍♂️
BUR & MUN are guaranteed a DGW in GW19 and they'd avoid getting a Blank in GW18 if BUR vs MUN is moved there.

MCI & AVL won't have a Blank in GW18 and they'd get a DGW in GW19 if MCI vs AVL is moved there

Here's another spreadsheet page that shows the full schedule up to GW29:

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More from @BenCrellin

Ben Crellin Profile picture
18 Dec
If you've already used your WC/FH then you're probably struggling to decide on a chip strategy to deal with GWs 18+19

If you have all you chips then the obvious* strategy is:
WC - GW16
FH - GW18
BB - GW19

*(this might not be an obvious strategy if GW1/11 Blanks move to GW18/19) Image
You'll be able to make a more informed decision on chip strategy if you're aware of what kind of Blank and Double GW schedule is likely the second half of the season.

This isn't going to be a normal end to the season; we're not guaranteed big Double Gameweek in GW37.
After GW19, postponements will be caused by:
EFL Cup Final in GW26
FA Cup QFs in GW29
FA Cup SFs in GW32
FA Cup Final in GW37

Most* postponements will move to the free midweeks in:
GW26
GW32
GW37

*one or two postponements will probably have to move to a UCL midweek Image
Read 9 tweets
Ben Crellin Profile picture
17 Dec
I might consider saving my FH for DGW26 if both GW1 Blanks are moved to GW 18/19.

Later this evening, I'll try and predict what the Blank and Double GW schedule might look like if the bookies favourites were to reach the FA Cup QFs/SF/Final & EFL Cup Final.
I did this exercise earlier and made a predicted schedule which had 7 Blank fixtures in GW29 due to all the favourites reaching the FA Cup QFs, which caused a big DGW in GW26

The next predicted schedule I make will have 5 Blank fixtures in GW29 as that's the most common outcome.
Here's how many Blank fixtures the FA Cup QFs have caused in each of the last five seasons:

6 in 19/20
5 in 18/19
6 in 17/18
6 in 16/17
5 in 15/16
Read 6 tweets
Ben Crellin Profile picture
16 Dec
The chip strategy I'm following is:
WC1 - GW16
FH - BGW18
BB - DGW19

TC - saving it for another DGW
WC2 - planning on using it to rebuild my team after BGW29

Here's the FPL schedule up to GW29 (which clashes with the FA Cup QFs):
I think the strategy I'm following is best if you still have all your chips (although you may want to WC before GW16 if you're unhappy with your current team).

But there's no one-size-fits-all strategy for people who have already used their Wildcard or Free Hit.
One possible strategy for navigating GW18/19 if you've already used your 1st WC is:

WC2 in GW17
FH in GW18
BB in GW19

The big downside to this strategy is that you'd have no team-changing chip (FH/WC) left to help navigate BGWs and DGWs later in the season.
Read 5 tweets
Ben Crellin Profile picture
15 Dec
Here's the updated GW 16-22 schedule after the PL announced which fixtures have been moved from BGW18 to DGW19.

The schedule might change again:
There's space for the GW 1+11 Blanks to move to GW18/19, and they could also move to GW17 if neither side reaches the EFL Cup QFs.
It might be the case that they're unwilling to move a postponement to GW 18/19 because they want to let all 20 teams have a mini winter break

One the other hand, they might want to reschedule the GW 1/11 Blanks as soon as possible and are waiting to see if GW17 will be free.
Looking at the TV schedule, I think it's more likely that none of the GW 1/11 Blanks will be moved to GW 18/19 as they'd clash with the current fixtures and the contract that the TV companies signed means they get all 10 fixtures at unique kick-off times in the split Gameweek
Read 4 tweets
Ben Crellin Profile picture
9 Dec
I need to update my Blank & Double Gameweek twitter moment ⚡️

I'm posting some general tweets about the schedule in this thread and then I'll add them to my moment.
twitter.com/i/events/82144…
Here's the schedule for the rest of the season:

There are 3 Blanks from GWs 1 + 11 that still need to be rescheduled.

4-6 GW18 Blanks will move to DGW19.

The FA Cup QFs will cause Blanks in GW29 but we can't be sure which GW they'll move to - they'll probably be spread out.
The Blanks from GWs 1 + 11 are:
BUR vs MUN*
MCI* vs AVL
AVL vs NEW*

The earliest these Blanks could be played is in GW17 but that's only possible if neither team reaches the EFL Cup SFs.

The EFL Cup QF draw is:
Brentford v NEW*
ARS vs MCI*
EVE vs MUN*
Stoke vs TOT
Read 8 tweets
Ben Crellin Profile picture
9 Nov
If you need a *BIG* speech from me then that's probably a sign that you should hit that WC button.

The WC will be useful in GW16, but it's likely to be more useful to you now if your team is in really bad shape.
If you WC before the GW 18/19 fixtures are announced then you might chose to use your 2nd Wildcard in GW17 and Free Hit in GW18 - but then you'd have to navigate the final 3rd of the season without a team-changing chip (WC/FH).
In a normal season, you'd want to have both FH and WC available to help navigate the Blanks and Doubles in the final third of the season, but this isn't a normal season.

GW29 will likely be the only big BGW in the final third of the season and we may not get a big DGW after GW19 Image
Read 5 tweets

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