Thread by @BenCrellin

I might consider saving my FH for DGW26 if both GW1 Blanks are moved to GW 18/19.

Later this evening, I'll try and predict what the Blank and Double GW schedule might look like if the bookies favourites were to reach the FA Cup QFs/SF/Final & EFL Cup Final.

https://twitter.com/BenCrellin/status/1339630676870619136

I did this exercise earlier and made a predicted schedule which had 7 Blank fixtures in GW29 due to all the favourites reaching the FA Cup QFs, which caused a big DGW in GW26

The next predicted schedule I make will have 5 Blank fixtures in GW29 as that's the most common outcome.

Here's how many Blank fixtures the FA Cup QFs have caused in each of the last five seasons:

6 in 19/20
5 in 18/19
6 in 17/18
6 in 16/17
5 in 15/16

So I've made a predicted schedule where 6 fixtures become Blanks in GW29 and the bookies favourites reach the latter stages of the other cup comps.
Then I rescheduled the projected Blanks/postponements in a logical order, with the GW1 Blanks moving to GW18/19

This predicted schedule is extremely unlikely to happen.
(I think we're probably more likely to get a schedule where the GW1 Blanks aren't moved to GW 18/19)

I just made it so you could get an idea of whether you'd want to play a FH chip in GW18 if the GW1 Blanks move to GW18/19

If they're gunna move one/both GW1 Blanks to GW18/19 then I think they'd announce it shortly after the last EFL Cup QF next week.

The GW16 deadline is 5 days after the last EFL Cup QF.

If they don't announce that a GW1 Blank is moving to GW18/19 by GW16 then I'll WC16 FH18 BB19