Thread by @EduEngineer

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD There are 20 natural experiments, and in 19 of them, the nation starting to use HCQ saw mortality rates fall OR the nation stopping usage saw it rise relative to baseline.

I will drop some of my own graphs here...

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Chile stopped using HCQ in late May.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Portugal stopped using in late May while their CFR was tanking. A couple of weeks later that trend reversed (median days to death is 18.5).

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Panama stopped in late May (also in the wake of Surgisphere) and started back on July 21. Not as clear as the Switzerland case, but the bump is there.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD South Korea stopped recommending (not a ban, and some doctors kept using) in late June between waves and CFR shot up for Wave 2.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD France reversed the OTC ban July 11. Once the people could buy HCQ on their own, CFR tanked nationwide.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Uganda had 0 deaths out of >1000 cases until they stopped using HCQ in July. Two days later the deaths began and they shot up to nearly a 10% CFR from 0% very quickly before getting a handle on "treatment without medicine".

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Similar story in Vietnam. More than 500 cases without a fatality and right around the time they stopped using HCQ in hospitals, CFR went from 0% to around 20%!

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD South Africa was one of the first recipients of HCQ from India upon lifting the export ban April 11. CFR collapsed as soon as the medicine got there. Then South Africa stopped usage Aug 5 and CFR went back up.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Dr. Harvey Risch documented the collapse of CFR in Para, Brazil...similar story. They started using HCQ and the deaths virtually stopped.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD There are others, but you get the idea. Out of the 20 I documented, 19 went in the direction of HCQ efficacy. The other is noise. That's getting close to "one in a million" in terms of a p-value.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Algeria started using HCQ March 25, and following the usual lag, CFR collapsed.

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD And here's the important part: hardly any of these nations were using anything close to "optimal treatment plan" which would be
1. Early (first 5 days)
2. With a macrolide, zinc, Vit C/D (at least, maybe other vits and mins).

@Kevin_McKernan @BrunnerCreative @ScottAdamsSays @vgttrom @JamesTodaroMD Note: The graphs I made from Our World in Data, publicly available data sets.