This piece misleads. It begins with McConnell’s outdated 18% approval rating, then acknowledges he “clawed” it up to 39%, but omits that McConnell’s approval was much higher than McGrath’s, omits the poll that had McConnell approval at 44%, & returns to the 18% number. 1/
https://twitter.com/des_de_mona_/status/1340041677088681990
2/ “Likely voters have a mixed opinion of Senator McConnell, with 44 % saying they have a favorable opinion of him, while 46 % say they have an unfavorable opinion of him. Amy McGrath receives a negative 34 - 47 percent favorability rating. “ - Oct. 2020 poll.qu.edu/kentucky/relea…
3/ It also omits that the exit polls predicted a strong McConnell victory. Yes, McConnell won by more than the polls predicted, but this information should not have been omitted from the piece since the piece begins w/ a discussion of the polls. tdmsresearch.com/2020/12/14/202…
4/ The other numbers in the piece may be worth looking at, but I haven’t double checked them. I’d like all races to be audited. It’s why I pushed for the #SAFEAct which wld have required that, but Rs killed it. axios.com/gop-senator-el…
5/ If someone is going to use polls to suggest that an election outcome was surprising, it isn’t ok to cherry pick them.
6/ Maybe just don’t use them at all? Or show why we shouldn’t rely on them? But no cherry picking.
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